Quote:
Originally Posted by EightFoldPath
You will get AA or KK every 110 hands.
It will come UTG (at a 9 seat table) every 990 hands.
At 30 hands per hour, you will get it every 33 hours.
You claim to "randomize" it 16% of the time, so every 206 hours ...
Or in other words, to fool the other players (who must be playing with you 8 hours a day, 5 days a week)
once every 5 weeks (or maybe 1 time a month) -- you limp.
Of course, you also limp/rr with some other hands to "balance it out"
A few things...
1)I don't believe I ever said anything about being UTG. I said when first in, which could mean anything from UTG-BTN. Of course my raising frequency increases dramatically from LJ-BTN so I rarely slowplay big PP in any case from there.
2)While most of the low stakes NL players I have played with probably have trouble tying their shoes in the morning, I have been consistently surprised by a few regulars who occasionally ask me questions about hands in the past or make an observation about something going on at the table. Some of the players do have memories, and they are certainly using them to modify how they play against you.
3)This isn't exactly a big part of anyone's NL game, and shouldn't be the deciding factor for anything. For most games where people will call with far worse hands this strategy should take a backseat to open raising; people will call with hands like KJo and be completely dominated. However! Against a mix of tight players and loose passives a standard opening usually creates a tough SPR and makes it easy for people to play perfectly against you for set mining purposes. Additionally if you just open raised large enough to deny those odds you're not getting good value out of your hand. Hence, sometimes you should limp-rr. My memory isn't good enough to recall how often I have done it, so I rely occasionally on randomizing it with my watch.
4)Oftentimes you can afford to limp speculative hands such as Ax suited or 33 (though KneedurDough would raise them! I feel out LAGged...) or 56o. Limp-rr helps balance out your range and can make opponents less likely to attack perceived weakness in your limps. Of course you can additionally balance out by limp-rr your speculative hands too.
5)Often there are so many bad players in play, you just want to play a wide range against them with any speculative holding, even OOP. They don't care what you have or your range or about balancing. You just want to be in a hand against them where you can use your post-flop edge to juice the pot.
However, there will be other more aggressive and observant players who will attack your limps, and you must "balance" between keeping them at bay and staying in hands with the weak players.
I hope that helps clarify things.