Quote:
Originally Posted by OSUTexan
Preflop is perfectly fine given image/stack size but definitely don't like raising the flop here. Just call flop....exercise some pot control. Figure the hand plays out differently from then on. You've essentially turned your hand into a bluff now and you put yourself in an even worse position now by betting out the turn big....tough spot now, you're @ 3.5 to 1 on making the call on river.
Unless you have some type of soul read....I'm folding. Looks like a T to me. Description of villain would definitely help a little though.
Asked by a previous poster what the thought process is from the flop onward.
I dont have a lot of history with this guy, but he seems like an ok 1/2 player. Interpret that how you like, but I dont think they are very tricky.
When he bets the flop at that size I just dont give the average 1/2 player a ten. With the cold call of the 32 pre, I think his range is heavily weighted toward pocket pairs and maybe some spec hands because of the price he was getting.
I should'nt have written that i liked my hand as much as I didnt really like his range once he makes that bet.
On the turn I have him on an unimproved pair or some kind of draw. A ten is still a possibility but i have discounted that possibility given his action of bet small, call, check.
When I bet the 250 I feel that it acts as both a value bet, if he is drawing or has say 55-77, and a bluff if he holds 99-JJ, which I think he would be hard pressed to continue with.
when I make the bad full house on the river, of course I am thinking is he so much of a donkey that he checked called a ten worried about his kicker?
the river decision is simply going to be based on how confident I was in my turn read combined with what I make of his nicely sized bet.