Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic
Personally I think people are misapplying the down bet on boards like these and a lot of others. And boards where they should bet small they bet big.
My reasoning for sizing down if we c-bet is that we're multi-way and sandwiched between the BTN and the SB on a low-middling two-tone flop that doesn't seem to favor our UTG+1 opening range in a BTN-straddled pot, with a hand that isn't drawing to the nuts or blocking any value other than A2cc and A7cc.
Unlikely BTN is going to fold his flush draws or any 7x to a 1/3 pot bet. SB is just going to x/r with any 2x, or flat-call with his flush draws and 7x, unless BTN raises. BTN is going to raise 2x, and flat call with all his 7x and draws.
C-betting 1/3 pot or more on flop isn't likely to fold out 88-JJ, and is reducing the stack sizes, giving our potential turn over-bet/jam less fold equity against those hands.
I'd rather just check flop to c-bet turn, or c-bet flop small and evaluate. If we check or bet small, we'll have more stack depth available to apply max pressure on a favorable turn card.