No reads on villain other than he hasn't done much
I am sitting at a 500 max game currently sit on a stack of 1600ish. I have been picking my spots well, and multiple times I have taken bet-bet-shipping river lines (always being for value but I have never shown down a hand). Lately I have been card dead/tighter so even though I've been in the mix I haven't really been out of line or doing anything too crazy, especially recently.
Villain lojack (700)
Hero BTN (1600)
Folds to villain in lojack who raises to $20
Hero 3bets A
Q
$70
Villain calls
Heads up to the flop
Flop (140): J
9
4
Villain checks
Hero bets $50
Villain calls
Turn ($240): 8
Villain checks
Hero ?
Whats best?
- Check back
- Bet ~100 to target AK,AQ and low pairs (55-77) that x/c flop
- Bet larger, 150ish-190ish
I find myself always not sure what to do in these spots. I think we have a range advantage on this board, tons more overpairs in our range and maybe even a couple of sets (probably just JJ, as I would likely flat 99, 44 most of the time pre). I can also have AJ suited here. If villain is calling with weak jacks, 97suited, T9 etc if we bet turn we could probably bomb river and put him in a really tough spot. On the other hand we could just take our boat load of equity on the turn and see a free card, but isn't AQss like the best hand to bluff with if we are ever going to be light on the turn?
Last question, if we bet this turn and get x/c'd, do we give up on unimproved brick rivers?
ty