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Originally Posted by madrobin
Well, since that's not what he said...you might want to review hand rankings. Two pair, for instance, outranks one pair.
There are no two pair combos on this board that are part of a reasonable preflop range. Sure, they "could" have two pair, but we can assume they don't because even if we're wrong they're losing more EV preflop than they are making back from our incorrect assumption.
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I agree that sacrificing one's stack with one pair isn't uncommon...just as most examples of bad play aren't uncommon. That doesn't mean it's a good idea.
I was implying that it's common between two players who are playing optimally, or at least playing well. I also specifically said 3-bet pots, although it would have been more accurate to say hands where the flop SPR was small.
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Furthermore, you can't possibly know if your "bully them off of their hands" strategy is actually working. You shove. They fold. Did you just make a studly bluff and cause them to fold top pair, or did they have nothing and would have folded to even a $5 bet? You have no way of knowing. Did you "run them over" or did you "make" them fold a hand they were never going to continue playing anyway? Or, worse...did you just blow them off a hand you were beating and they would have called a smaller bet?
If it wasn't clear, by "run them over" I meant bluffing them with every bluff candidate we get to the turn with, and maybe also adding in more flop bluffs planning to double barrel. I didn't mean we should mindlessly bet KK. If you really believe they are rarely calling with worse hands you should check KK and bluff every airball or weak pair in your range.
We already assumed that they're not calling off with one pair hands, at least not often enough to make jamming KK correct. Under this assumption one of the following should be true:
1. They are folding often enough to a turn jam to make bluffing any two cards highly profitable.
2. They are folding too many hands on earlier streets, giving my earlier bluffs more EV than they can make back by snapping me off with their strong turn range.
This is how we know an aggressive turn strategy is part of an effective overall strategy, although if 2. is true then we will be even more effective by giving up most everything on the turn.
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So the "strategy" of divining that your opponent won't call with anything but a set is GIGO. I know that people like to blather on endlessly about GTO and all those other trendy learned-sounding concepts, but the simple fact is that overbetting is overbetting. And one pair is never more than a pretty good hand after the flop.
This is exactly what I meant before when I said it would help you to study theory. I don't think you know what GTO means or what it's does, because it has nothing to do with divining your opponent's strategy. I'm not even saying you should try to play anything close to GTO, just learn some basic theory concepts so you stop saying nonsense like "one pair is never more than a pretty good hand after the flop," implying it's not good enough to stack off with.
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To me, "good play" is betting with good hands, checking with mediocre hands, folding with bad hands, etc. It's illogical and unprofitable to bet huge amounts on mediocre or pretty good hands.
You're wrong. For one thing this line of thinking doesn't allow for bluffing large amounts of money.
It's funny that you cling to this "old school" thinking while saying stuff like only bad players will call their stack off with one pair, because your old school style only works against bad players.