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KK on low card/flush draw board

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08-28-2014 , 08:02 PM

TheBirdman

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 1,391

Hero is young white male, been at the table for a little over an hour and has doubled his stack, showing down all winners.

Villain is an older man, seems tight, haven't played many hands though so I couldn't say.

Stacks are $160eff.

Hero raises to $14 UTG+1 with KK and gets 4 callers (villain in SB).

Flop comes 643cc. Checks to Hero who bets 50 into 70. Folds back to SB who shoves for 95 more.

Against an old guys c/j I'm obviously worried, but with 95 to call to win a pot of 310, can I fold this?

Last edited by TheBirdman; 08-28-2014 at 08:20 PM.

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08-28-2014 , 08:17 PM

limonade

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 76

You said the flop was 70 on the flop, so you must have raised to about 14 preflop. That is a decent sized bet for Villain to call.

You said Villain "seems tight." If that applies to preflop, then he could easily have various QQ-88 type hands. He could also have a set or AcTc+. He is unlikely to have a straight or two-pair.

Your equity is favorable against a range of:

AA, 66, 44, 33 (somewhat discounting the sets, since idk if he calls pre with 33)
QQ-88, AcTc+

Call.

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08-28-2014 , 08:30 PM

peckx063

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 412

Quote:

Originally Posted by limonade

OPs tight read is admittedly a weak read. Guy is in SB after 3 other calls. He can show up with 65/45 type hands here too sometimes. Ez call is ez

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08-28-2014 , 08:37 PM

blackluster777

grinder

Join Date: May 2013 Posts: 461

you can't fold because he has 99-QQ in his range more than likely and its for under 100bb

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08-28-2014 , 08:41 PM

iraisetoomuch

banned

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 37,500

Snap calling.

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