Quote:
Originally Posted by veryblind
yes, An Ace is probably the worst card to fall on the turn but I'm calling any turn. the pot is only $100 and you're deep so you're not at a committment point here. probably fold to another bet on the river and give it to him if he has the moxy to 2barrel bluff
Ok, so you're calling any turn bet. Now answer this: what are you ahead of that is betting a turn but not calling a c-bet on the flop? Do you think villain will bluff an A-high or K-high here? If so, I'm confused and respectfully disagree.
If villain fires the turn, he's most likely got a Q, or a mid pair between 6 and Q or maybe something like 67 (though I'd put that on the low end). All of these are likely calling your flop bet anyway, so why allow a few hands to get there by not c-betting the flop? TT will still be there, on the flop and the turn.
The difference between c-betting the flop and not c-betting the turn is the allowance of a free card to hands that might catch up to you. I see no hands that would fold to a flop bet but fire a turn bet while behind. You have a risk-free move here.
You seem to advocate the standard method of raise with a mid-high pair, and if any overcard hits act scared but still call down with it. I hate this way of playing and think it is a pretty bad leak. You are playing your hand faceup and basically daring any thinking villain to double-barrel you (and folding to his/her dare). Not only that, your strategy essentially consists of acting exactly as you feel - the desire to get to showdown cheaply with a mediocre hand. Anytime you are playing face up is an advantage to your opponent and a detriment to yourself.
My strategy for this hand would be to bet the flop. If I'm called, I'm checking behind almost all turns (only ones I might bet on would be A/K, and of course a J). If villain leads into me on a blank turn, I'm probably folding but I'd be super confused. If villain check-raised me I'd say "nice hand" and muck unless I really smelled something fishy. If I got a check-behind on the turn I might call a river bet depending on how I felt about the opponent at the time and how big the bet was, but mostly I'm folding.
I hate not c-betting this flop. Hate it. And I think you should too.