I've been stewing on this KK hand for a couple of weeks... - Page 2 - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

If the only reason you call is to hit a 3 outer (6% of the time on the next card), then that's a bigtime losing move.

6% of the time you win $240, 94% of the time you lose $55.

(0.06 * 240) + (.94 * -55) = -$37.30

Sorry my first post was poorly worded. I meant that most of the time I think villain has a set here, but with our weak flop bet I think there are more hands in his range than just sets that we can obviously beat. To be clear im definitely folding on the flop, but since we called on the flop I think its correct to call on the turn as well.

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07-02-2014 , 09:15 AM

#27

fizzypants

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 1,851

Very complicated stuff eh OP?

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07-02-2014 , 09:27 AM

#28

au4all

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 2,872

Quote:

Originally Posted by mtagliaf

What 3 outs do you think we have? We have a pocket-pair.

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07-02-2014 , 11:35 AM

#29

dunderstron!

adept

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 842

Hand is wp. I think c-betting $35 into $60 on a dry board is fine. I cbet half pot on dry boards and 2/3rds - 3/4th on wet boards.

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