tl;dr (but some of you guys owe me one)
I used to be an amazing hand selector... Then I moved to Vegas, started playing uncapped, stopped getting dealt coolers (in my favor), and realized my only steady earn was value-bluffing the nits who sat too deep and using my image to stack the ballers who thought I was always bluffing no matter how much money I put in the pot. As long as the stacks were deep, I would play any two cards that remotely resembled a hand from just about any position (moreso in late position obv). It was a good (albeit tiring) strategy that worked well for a few years...
I'm back in CA now and the game has changed a lot. Many of the 5-10's are capped and even in the bigger games (which are much rarer than they were a few years ago) it seems the nits are sitting with stacks they are comfortable with. In addition to that, people just aren't making the errors they used to with regards to betting when they can't call a raise and folding in spots when they should obv call. And of course, there are a lot less ballers at the tables due to the economy.
Basically it seems like you have to make the best hand a lot more often to drag a pot these days and the speculative starting hands aren't getting paid off nearly as much as they used to due to pot control, etc. So... I've come to the realization (a lot of poker friends + a
really icy stretch has helped me come to this realization) that I can no longer consistently spot my opponents the best of it pre and expect a steady earn. It's time to bring a gun to the gunfight I guess you could say...
Having said all that, in no way do I want to start nitting it up. My #1 strength has always been hand/people reading and I like my post-flop game
a lot. I also have more live experience than just about anyone I play with and the fortitude to make the most difficult of plus ev plays (if I see it, I do it, no matter how thin the play is or how bad I've been running).
Every couple years (usually after a hefty downswing
) I roughly chart out the starting hands I think I should be playing in each position (unopened, limped in front, raised in front, etc). It's kind of a periodic back to the basics fundamentals check- and I'm in the process of doing it now.
What I'm looking for itt is 2 things:
1. What exact hands (given the background provided) do you think I can profitably open utg in a typical 2011 CA 5-10 or 10-20 game (100-150 bbs effective, a few nits, a fish or 2, some people trying to make it as pros, etc)? Once I establish a solid utg opening range, I believe the rest of the chart is pretty easy to fill out. ***Please be very specific if you reply (with hands and reasoning) as I'm looking to really dissect this/not leave any out or keep any in that don't belong...
2. I currently have no open-limping range (from any position) under typical conditions, but a lot of winning players I know do. Should I have one? Why or why not?
Thanks for any feedback. I realize this is entry level stuff to a degree, and I think I know the answers, but I'd love to get a consensus as my recent run like ************************ has me questioning just about everything I think/do lately
.
Much Appreciated