Hero: MAWG Playing TAG for a couple hours. $400
Game is $1-2 NL with $400 max.
V1: OWG loose-passive fish. Rarely shows aggression. $300
V2: MAWG loose-passive. Younger clone of V1. $250.
V3: Main Villian - Young, aggro mid 20's. I've played with him several times before. He is very aggressive and will bluff frequently, and value bet really light. Typically folds to aggression, and applies max pressure with draws. $250
OTTH
UTG+1 (V1) limps $2
MP (V2) limps $2
MP+1 limps $2
CO (V3) raises to $15
BTN (doesn't matter) calls $15
Hero on SB K
Q
Thought process: This is an attractive squeeze spot. I range CO with {AJ+, KJ+, 88+, 109s+, A10s+, possibly some suited gappers as well}.
Pro's to squeeze: We are OOP, there is decent money already in the pot. Hand is likely to go very multiway if we call.
Cons: We have a very good multiway hand with nut/near nut potential. If we squeeze we will likely get called fairly wide by V3, and will be playing OOP against the higher portion of his range a fair bit.
I decide the Con's outweigh and elect to flat the raise.
Hero on SB Calls $15.
BB folds
UTG +1 Calls $15
MP Calls $15
MP+1 folds
Flop ($75) - K
9
8
-
Hero (SB) checks
UTG+1 checks (V1)
MP checks (V2)
CO (V3) bets $35
BTN calls $35
Hero calls $35
UTG + 1 calls $35
MP folds
Turn ($215) - K
9
8
10
-
Checks to V3.
V3 jams ~$200
BTN folds
Hero?
Thoughts: Flop check is standard. The c-bet from Villain 3 is small. We have TPGK with backdoor spades, and straight draws. Loose-passive villains are likely to announce strength with a check raise, or just flat with a wide range... which would be bad. However, a flop x/r seems way to strong for this hand. (Oh, the problems of OOP play!) It also seems way too nitty to fold to a 1/2 pot bet with what is quite possibly the best hand.
Once the flop bet gets called and we are 4 handed on the turn in a huge pot, our options suck. QJ made the nuts if anyone floated that. However, we block QJ, and AK. V3's jam seems polarizing. He either is fast playing AA/AK (unlikely given our history, 4-way he would slow down I think), flopped a set and is getting it in before the board gets worse, or is on a draw of some kind. Hands containing a J just picked up a lot of outs, and Villain certainly has KJ/AJ/JJ in his range.
I tank for a minute and V1 loads his cards to fold. V2 starts chatting with neighbor, showing disinterest in the hand.
Hero? Conservative fold, or variance train call?
Critique of my thought process and all decisions are welcomed.