Quote:
Originally Posted by ibelieveinkolb
In my experience at $1/$2, I think A7 suited is ahead of a late-position raiser's opening range a decent percentage of the time. Not far ahead, but KQ, KJ, etc., are opening for a raise in that spot in the games I play. I wish I had 3-bet there all-in.
Now that we're on the subject, this is another area of weakness for you. You shouldn't have "I think" in your vocabulary while off the felt. This is easily pokerstoved. Against the top 30% of hands, you're slightly behind. Against the top 50% of hands, you're only a 55/45 favorite and you have to play this oop.
The number of players who are raising this frequently in LP is quite small. Most players prefer to limp anything but big hands pf and see a flop before committing any chips. Therefore against most of LLSNL, this becomes a fold.
If it is a rare person who steals this much (probably a on-line refugee), you want to start thinking about whether raising or calling is more EV. If he's raising 30% of the time, he'll probably fold most of those hands to a 3bet, unless he knows you like to 3bet light. Instead of being neutral EV pf, you win his $12. But what happens if he 4bets? If that's the case, he's doing it with JJ+, AK and you only have 30% equity. However, if you bet $40 with $100 effective stacks, his jam puts the pot at $140 and you have to call $60. Interestingly, you're getting the odds to call then. You've put the villain in the position where you can't make any mistakes and he can. That's how you win at poker.
When people are telling you to work on your game, it is this type of work you need to do for yourself. Books are only the beginning. This forum is the next step along the path, but even here the best the best posters can do for you is to show you how to attack a single problem. To go beyond, you need to do your homework off the tables so that when these situations come up again, you know how to play it. No book or forum can possibly cover every scenario for you.
What makes the great players of today great is that they have done this homework. It looks like durrr is making sick bluffs, but in reality he has simply worked out what the likely FE is, added to it his hand equity and is just making a +EV play. It isn't playing wild, it is actually well controlled logic, every step of the way.