Quote:
Originally Posted by jvds
if you bet 3 times, how does he win the minimum? also he is probably going to c/r the river rather than c/c (theoretically allowing him to having a bluffing range as well, although this will prob never happen with this guy)
If he has 7x in his calling range, then he also has 3x and PP (at least OTF).
After the turn pairs the 7, there are now much fewer combos of 7x he can have (e.g. 7xs, A7s).
Now, even if he still has a 7x hand after all that, he's very likely to put in a lead or a raise OTT, and very likely to lead OTR.
Since he does not, I discount 7x hands from his range (yes, even with his trappy image as described by the OP).
Much more likely he's being trappy with a 88+ or A-big.
IMO, this is a pretty standard 3-street-value hand against a villain who'll call down light.
For every 10 spots like this:
-- 5 times I get 2 streets and V folds,
-- 3 times I get 3 streets and win at showdown
-- 2 times I value own myself and either lose at showdown or have to fold to a river raise.