Quote:
Originally Posted by cap217
ok guys...
I played tonight and lost 3 buy ins... Get this hand:
I am on the button w AdQd and someone makes it $7 and 3callers then CO makes it $30. I call, BB calls, everyone else folds.
Flop 8d6d3d. BB checks, CO bets $45 and I go to raise but BB raises for $250. I call CO calls and I shove for $50 more. I am in vs KK and 79o. I LOST!
Then I lost with 3 set over sets and a flush over flush. KK vs AA and AK4 flop.
Heres a hand I thought I played perfect. QQ on button and make it $25 and get 2 callers. Flop 843 and its checked to me. A short stack with $108 in the hand and I get a cound and I bet $54 and blind calls and short stack shoves. I shove blind folds. VS J8 and a J on the turn!
Guys, what can I do? Just quit? I dont think I am playing bad at all.
It is obvious that you are a poker noob.
Coolers happen, bad beats happen, you can do everything 100% correct and still be a loser by the end of the night.
My worst downswing was losing 20 situations in a row in which I was 80%+ to win with one card coming and I lost. Not, once, not twice, but 20 times in a row. Did that mean I was doing something wrong?
No. In each situation I got the monies in when I was an 80%+ favorite with one card to come. I calculated the probability of losing 20 hands in a row (over a period of a week) when being a 80% favorite was 9 x 10^-27. Talk about improbable. And to put that in perspective, there are players that have gone MONTHS with this sort of bad luck. My little one week of soul crushing variance is NOTHING compared to what others have experienced. And no matter how well I play, I will experience the same downswing again and again. It is just the way the math works. It is inevitable.
Google "Poker Variance" and "Poker Coolers" and read until you answer your own questions.
If you cannot grasp what variance means, then you will be unable to be a longterm winning player.