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hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only

12-07-2020 , 09:21 PM
have BTC
want Stars

2.5k-7.5K

you ship first, plenty of trades itt, can get vouch from a couple traders
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-10-2020 , 08:15 PM
Will pay a $100 finders fee if someone can connect me with someone who will give me 20:1 on Trump for about half a bitcoin (~$9k).

Person must be very well known and respected as well as solvent for the bet, obviously, and I would send the money. They could hold theirs until resolution.

$100 fee is bet is made for at least .35 btc, $50 fee if less. No bet made = no fee paid. Bet value can be stored in either USD or bitcoin as long as it is decided before the bet is made.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-10-2020 , 08:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CarbonIsTheNutLow
Will pay a $100 finders fee if someone can connect me with someone who will give me 20:1 on Trump for about half a bitcoin (~$9k).

Person must be very well known and respected as well as solvent for the bet, obviously, and I would send the money. They could hold theirs until resolution.

$100 fee is bet is made for at least .35 btc, $50 fee if less. No bet made = no fee paid. Bet value can be stored in either USD or bitcoin as long as it is decided before the bet is made.
What's the bet?
20-1 odd on election being overturned in favor of Trump?
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-10-2020 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nowitsover
What's the bet?
20-1 odd on election being overturned in favor of Trump?
If that's how you want to look at it, yes. It can be settled based on how bookmaker.eu ultimately grades their trump election bets or based on who is inaugurated.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-11-2020 , 11:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CarbonIsTheNutLow
If that's how you want to look at it, yes. It can be settled based on how bookmaker.eu ultimately grades their trump election bets or based on who is inaugurated.
Must be a rich man to want to piss away $9k. Good luck. Safe Harbor date has come and gone.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-11-2020 , 12:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by *seeker*
Must be a rich man to want to piss away $9k. Good luck. Safe Harbor date has come and gone.
He is banking on GOP House and Senate to go rogue. And forces all Red state governors to give the electoral votes to Trump.

Can you imagine if that happens? RED States will give electors to Trump regardless of their state election result. That would be beyond madness. I think that will be the end of democracy and quite possibly the start of another civil war. Can't believe we are even talking this nonsense.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-11-2020 , 01:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nowitsover
He is banking on GOP House and Senate to go rogue. And forces all Red state governors to give the electoral votes to Trump.

Can you imagine if that happens? RED States will give electors to Trump regardless of their state election result. That would be beyond madness. I think that will be the end of democracy and quite possibly the start of another civil war. Can't believe we are even talking this nonsense.
That's not really how it works, and in any case, you'd expect most politicians to vote for their own comfort regardless of party. Not looking for a political debate here, there are other parts of the forum for that.

I simply think the odds are better than 20:1, and I know many others think the odds are roughly 0%. So I'm looking to bet on the difference.

Those are around the current odds at betfair, the market with the highest liquidity, but I'm also not requiring people to lock up their funds on a betting exchange. It's possible - even probable - that the true market evaluation of Trump's chances would be lower without the liquidity aspect of people having to put up 20x odds.

Presumably the odds will change somewhat depending whether the court decides to hear oral arguments for the Texas case, which I'm not completely sure if we'll find out today but it seems likely more info will come out.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-11-2020 , 05:17 PM
Hi Carbon.

TRUMPFEB is a futures contract that expires to $1 if Donald Trump is president on February 1, 2021. Note that TRUMP might also expire in February 2021 if no winner is called, but TRUMPFEB will definitely not expire until February. https://ftx.com/trade/TRUMPFEB

I see the market at 0.138.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-11-2020 , 08:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CarbonIsTheNutLow
Will pay a $100 finders fee if someone can connect me with someone who will give me 20:1 on Trump for about half a bitcoin (~$9k).

Person must be very well known and respected as well as solvent for the bet, obviously, and I would send the money. They could hold theirs until resolution.

$100 fee is bet is made for at least .35 btc, $50 fee if less. No bet made = no fee paid. Bet value can be stored in either USD or bitcoin as long as it is decided before the bet is made.
No longer interested in this.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-11-2020 , 09:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CarbonIsTheNutLow
No longer interested in this.
LOL

I guess you are a Trump supporter.
And this decision was enough for you to abandon your fairy tale delusion, huh?

https://www.supremecourt.gov/orders/...120zr_p860.pdf
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-11-2020 , 09:53 PM
Why would a substantial change in the underlying odds not change my willingness to accept a bet? I literally said that would be the case 8 hours ago before it happened. Even if I still wanted the bet, I would want better odds. If some crazy well known multimillionaire poker player shows up and offers 40:1 I would still take it but I don't expect that to happen, so I'm cancelling my offer.

If you want to engage in political mudflinging, please go to the election betting thread and insult me there, if that's what you desire.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-13-2020 , 03:15 AM
lol @ calling a trump bet an arb
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-13-2020 , 08:30 PM
Have 10-20k usd. Want btc
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-14-2020 , 09:48 AM
Have: Venmo (2.5k), Paypal ($300)
Want: BTC
Plenty trades ITT. PM me.

Last edited by BigBadBabar; 12-16-2020 at 10:18 PM.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-15-2020 , 09:01 AM
Hey guys, Fade here posting again. Just reminding you I have the call any button for all wpm skins and btc. Really any amount, just hmu. Lots of hv's and i will become a regular buyer
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-20-2020 , 01:02 PM
Have: 3.6k stars
Want : BTC

Haven't traded ITT but I've been around forever and I'm sure we can find a common friend or reference. Thanks
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-20-2020 , 09:06 PM
Have 10k Venmo /cash app /PayPal
Want 10k BTC

Haven’t traded itt but have references and sure can find a mutual friend..thanks
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-21-2020 , 10:59 AM
have ACR

want USD, BTC

5k min -- not sending first, not trading with unknowns
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-24-2020 , 12:32 AM
Have BTC up to 20k

Want usd + 5%
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-24-2020 , 08:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by halperin
Have BTC up to 20k

Want usd + 5%
+5%? Sites that do charge a fee are nowhere near 5%... CashApp for example only charges about 1%.
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-26-2020 , 12:49 PM
Been out of the loop is BTC bitcoin?
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-26-2020 , 11:47 PM
have stars

want gg or btc

you send first, plenty of trades itt
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-28-2020 , 01:33 PM
want: cash in LA. Venmo/pp if you're reputable.

have: 1.2 BTC

Min transaction for meeting up: 0.6 BTC
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
12-29-2020 , 05:48 PM
Have cash in LA/OC +1.5, venmo/cash app +1.5
Want btc
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote
01-07-2021 , 01:40 AM
Have PayPal Venmo cash app apple pay

Want btc / online funds / wallets

5k min
hsnl xfer thread: for active/reputable hsnl community members only Quote

      
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