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How often i he drawing? 1000NL How often i he drawing? 1000NL

10-20-2008 , 01:46 PM
The game is 5/10 FR on party.

Villain have only sat at the table for 5 orbits, these are his stats: (50 hands)

vol/pot = 10%
aggresion faktor: (preflop/flop/turn/riwer) 1,75/ul/ul/0

ul = unlimited

I have 100BB he has me covered - he havent seen me been out of line, so his
image of me is mostly likely to be TAG


I raise 30 in mp with 99. One calls from cut off, and villian calls from sb


FLOP 343 pot = 100

Villian check, I bet 80 and villian reraises to 240


I find it hard to believe that he doesent raise AA KK QQ in the sb against a raiser and a limper. He could have a set, but on this board its rather unlikely
A 4 is ofcourse likely especially since he called from sb.
Lots of draws are possible, so I think his most likely holding is a draw of some sort. = I choose to call


Turn is 4 Pot is 580


Villian open push all in 735


Whats your oppinion? how often is he on a draw here?
How often i he drawing? 1000NL Quote
10-20-2008 , 03:20 PM
i don't know how often he's drawing, but he never pushes 4x here imo. His range is something like {55-JJ,Ax,draws}.
How often i he drawing? 1000NL Quote
10-20-2008 , 04:36 PM
would you lean towards a fold?
How often i he drawing? 1000NL Quote
10-20-2008 , 10:35 PM
This is a super close call. Hard to do anything big against an unknown. Can't see a boat betting like this. Seems more like a draw trying to rep a boat. So barring any real reads/history I probably call. But I've been known to spew.
How often i he drawing? 1000NL Quote
10-21-2008 , 04:34 AM
In a real game I would fold. But that's cause I'm a nit and I don't stack off light and I especially hate to pay off even bigger nits.

Reading this in a forum and calculating against a possible range, I think your priced to call.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,596 games 0.090 secs 28,844 games/sec

Board: 3c 3h 4h 4c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.299% 43.45% 00.85% 1128 22.00 { 9c9s }
Hand 1: 55.701% 54.85% 00.85% 1424 22.00 { 33+, AhKh, AhQh, Ac3c }


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How often i he drawing? 1000NL Quote
10-22-2008 , 07:26 AM
Thx for the comments, they were very helpful

I called and he showed TT, but in retrospect I dont regret the call


/good luck at the tables
How often i he drawing? 1000NL Quote

      
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