Quote:
Originally Posted by Buster65
Huh? Ok, I guess. With 68 already in the pot, if V calls, we are getting 2-1 on our money, so 33% is breakeven.
Or to put it another way, if we put 68 in now, our equity is 38.4% of the total 204 pot, or 78.66, for a plus EV play.
This is the math i did at the table.
68 in the pot. risking 68 more. So fold equity req for break even = 50%.
she is capped at A9 atmost. she limp called and then check called on a draw heavy flop (flush, straight, gutters). So lots of draws in her range. My perceived range when i shove?.. KK+.
Any draws, or underpairs like (77-JJ) are checking behind. Guy is stacking off his entire stack on the very 'First hand' .
Considering all these, i expected the fold equity to be close to 90% as if she fails, she will be left with $60 ish back. Even if she callsf, i can spike A,10 or flush. So, i thought its an ok shove. I dont think most will call down with such a weak hand as low as low pair.
I think people dont come to casino's travelling far to fold a pair..