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Hand I butchered Hand I butchered

05-19-2012 , 01:27 PM
FR 1/2. Effective stacks 200


Hero SB TT

2 limpers (MP and BTN). Hero raises to 20.

MP (LAG) calls. BTN (Loose and a bit inexperienced) calls.

Flop (62): 89Q

Hero checks. (Probably should have bet here, but I don't like betting OOP into 2 ppl with second pair. With some some villains I would, but both these players are capable of floating flops with ATC, leaving me with an even bigger decision on the turn and not really gaining any information from my flop bet.)

MP checks (a check here by him is suspicious. He's very aggressive and will bet at most checked flops.)

BTN checks. (a check by this player is genuine weakness. He would bet any pair or draw after 2 checks to him.)

Turn (62): 7

Hero checks. (OESD and TT is probably ahead). I should have lead out here.

MP checks (Even more suspicious. He's seen a lot of weakness and would normally take a shot at the pot).

BTN bets 25. (this sort of bet by him is generally a weak hand or complete bluff).

Hero calls. I should have check raised here.

MP raises to $125.

BTN insta-folds.

Pot: 237 , Hero 155.

Due to stack sizes, this is pretty much all-in or fold. I've butchered the hand to this point but my hand is under-represented given my play and MP is completely capable of making this move with very little, a draw, or nothing. He would also do the same with a strong made hand.

Disregard my mistakes to this point (I know). Given the action with 1 card to come, Hero: ?
Hand I butchered Quote
05-19-2012 , 01:35 PM
Don't bet into a LAG unless you're OK with getting raised and don't bet into a loose inexperienced guy unless it's for value (sometimes 2nd pair is good against him but not both players.) I'm OK with check-folding and waiting for a better spot.

Your turn call just screams weakness, LAG played it well. Plus your hand is probably kaput here, since the turn hits LAG's range HARD.

Sadly, you may think you have 6 outs but in reality maybe half that. If you shove, you have to pray that he folds because you're not getting called by worse.
Hand I butchered Quote
05-19-2012 , 01:42 PM
Yeah, you have to lead turn, no ifs ands or buts about it.

Given your read on V, as played snap shove. Seriously, given your read this is a super easy almost fist pump shove.

Don't see what the problem is. If he is likely or capable of bluffing here (as your read states) then we should have no qualms getting it in vs him. Especially since our hand looks like AK.
Hand I butchered Quote

      
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