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Hand analysis please help

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09-04-2014 , 10:27 PM

Jasonmmi

stranger

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 2

Ok playing 2 5. Three players in hand all about 1200 deep. I have king of spars king of clubs and I am under the gun. I raise to 30 and get 4 callers. Flop comes Q diamonds 3 spades 4 of spades. I bet 60. 2nd to act raises to 150 with a q. Button who is a good aggressive player. ( my table image is relatively right , guy with a q is relatively loose) raises to 400. I think for awhile and fold and so does other guy ? Player doesn't say what he had. Right move or was I slightlty ahead agains something like a 2 spades ? I don't think he had a set?? Thoughts ??

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09-05-2014 , 01:34 AM

Fish Taco

banned

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 1,580

Easy fold IMO. I'd say he's got something along these lines and we are way behind.

Board: Qd4s3s
Equity Win Tie
MP2 21.26% 21.26% 0.00% { KsKc }
MP3 6.10% 5.34% 0.76% { AdQh }
CO 72.63% 71.87% 0.76% { AA, 44-33, AsQs, As5s, 5s4s, As2s }

This could change depending on what AQ the guy had.

You may get some more responses if you format your post a little better. You gave all the right details but it's a little tough on the eyes. Check out some of the other posts in here to get an example. You are new so welcome to the forums!!!

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09-05-2014 , 01:40 AM

eldiesel

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 3,585

That's a sick, well hand-read, V-specific squeeze if he didn't have it. I'd be folding.

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09-05-2014 , 11:34 AM

ChicagoLex

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 245

Bit of a toss up in my mind. Need a better read on button to make a definitive decision. Had button played draws aggressively in the past? Is his aggression usually proportional to his relative hand strength?

I could see a stereotypically "aggressive" player taking this line with both sets and the NFD. Possibly slightly ahead, possibly way behind. Not a terrible spot to fold.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.284% 32.28% 00.00% 31485 0.00 { KcKs }
Hand 1: 58.364% 57.20% 01.17% 55782 1136.50 { 44-33, AQs+ }
Hand 2: 09.352% 08.19% 01.17% 7984 1136.50 { AQs, AQo }

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09-05-2014 , 12:36 PM

Aces&Kings

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 181

Why did you bet 60 into a pot of about 150?

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09-05-2014 , 02:04 PM

TheBirdman

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 1,391

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aces&Kings

Why did you bet 60 into a pot of about 150?

Yeah, I'd be betting like $120 here.

Also, how do you know one of the Villain's had a queen? Did he show after the hand? If so, don't include that in the OP as we should just have the info you had going into the hand.

Welcome to LLSNL!

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09-05-2014 , 08:03 PM

Jasonmmi

stranger

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 2

I bet 60 cause I wanted to appear weak. I saw a q reaching for chips before I bet ( he did show). My small vet on the flop was why I thought so long because button also may have thought I was weak. Not overly aggressive on draws but overly aggressive in position

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09-05-2014 , 08:50 PM

venice10

Referee

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 25,857

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jasonmmi

I bet 60 cause I wanted to appear weak.

An important lesson to be learned in this situation. The reason to appear weak is to encourage people to put more money in the pot. When that happens, you should be happy, not folding. The lesson is that you don't slow play over pairs. You need a true monster like a straight, the nut flush or a FH to think about slow playing and even then your instinct should be towards betting out.

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