Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 1,493
I don't like it as a bluff.
If V is bad and decides to cold call a wide range of pairs in this spot from SB, then he's just not the kind of player that is likely to dump TT+ when we shove this turn after we have bet and called a minraise on the flop. He'll try to convince himself that your PP is even lower than his or that you got sticky with AQ, shrug, and call getting 3:1.
If you feel like he would 4b TT somewhat often preflop and uses the min x/r on the flop to get you off AQ while he holds a lower pocket pair, then this play isn't a terrible value bet against 55-88.
Based on the info provided, I don't think you can say for sure he wouldn't cold call pre with TT+, AK sometimes. Since it seems like we're going to value cut ourselves more often with a bet, I like a check back on a rag turn.
For the same kind of reasons, I'm prob checking back the flop. We have SDV when we hit the pair to go ahead of lower PPs in his range, and I doubt we get him to fold TT/JJ/QQ by convincing him that we very often have trip K, quad K, or AA here super often. It's a way ahead/way behind sort of situation, so cutting out a street of betting is a good idea.