Quote:
Originally Posted by shorn7
This is a great point so thanks for making it. I guess I am of the view that sometimes V's won't call all in with a hand like Tx/99/88 here because they don't want to felt, but they may call a smaller amount. That being said, given I was never folding after betting $75, I either should have bet really small or jammed instead. My sizing accomplished nothing as a tweener given V's stack.
I always see that as one of those justifications to make this exploit ($75 when value betting and all in for $118 when bluffing). That they like still having a few chips on the felt. This is probably true for your OMC type player who plays a ton and feels shame when they don't have $ in front of them. But I wouldn't worry about the optics too much when the bet is so trivial relative to the pot. Your river bet gives him 3.7:1 on his money, versus 2.7:1 on a shove. Both are pretty tempting prices given the runout when he holds Tx.
Plus, I'd figure we would be bluffing here rarely against this player type, whether we bet 75 or all in. So in the times you do have a bluff and they fold, that's a perfect time to show it and train them into giving you the last 20+ bb.
But yeah, I like that you went big on the turn. If you're concerned that he'd overfold to shoves on the river, I think a better exploit would be to bet even bigger on the turn. Like why not make it 70-75 next time? He's probably going to call us with a lot of pair + gutter hands and KT/QT. So now the pot is 232 instead of 202 and we just have to bet 1/2 pot to get the rest in. If we have to milk them on the end to squeeze value, we might as well make the pot bigger so the milking bet is bigger.