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Originally Posted by venice10
1. Variance is a much bigger factor in live games than online. An occasional player online can generate 25,000 hands in a month. That's over a year's play live. Think about the ups and downs of a month online and let it play out for a year. If you won enough to cover your tournamet fees, you were probably on a heater.
That is a great insight. I remember the online variance very well. I do know I was on a heater for portions of my playing time and I played a lot of hours. My first two sessions were losing and the second two were where I made that money back and the tournament fees plus more. Note that I only played two $250 tournaments, so we are not talking main event buy ins or anything. Both my winning sessions started out very slow and then, at some point, picked up steam. I found that as my stack grew, I became more confident. I have a limited bankroll for poker and am careful with it and disciplined because I am not rich. I recognize the fact that I can get hours of entertainment from a $200 buy in even if I lose it. It is much nicer when I come home with more than I took, which has happened both times I have gone to Cherokee (the other was from a decent cash in a tournament). But your point is very well taken and I will certainly remember that.
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2. Most poker players are nice people, especially at the lowest level. There are very few "pros," so people are often playing for other reasons than winning money.
3. Lots of poker players have recency bias. You'll find over time that Ed Miller was right and playing too many hands is a drain on your profits. But as in 1, you were likely on a heater.
4. All of this is true.
I did find that I liked most of the people I met, I enjoyed the fact I was meeting folks from all over that I never would have met otherwise. There were a few "pros" that sat down at the table from time to time. Or they said they were pros. In any case, they being there really didn't make much difference. I have no doubt that Ed Miller is right. I am going to reread that book now that I have actually played live 1/2.
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5. The owner of this website would tell you that tells aren't that important. Most people make some effort not to give away information.
6. You'll have to learn more about bluffing and when to do it. It is mostly about telling a believable story.
I certainly tried to not give away any information. And it was obvious to me that some of the others were doing the same when in a hand. I found it really hard to get any info from someone else, that is probably my inexperience as much as anything.
You are totally correct about learning how to bluff. That is a weak spot in my game for sure. Thanks for saying that.
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7. You are correct that most people don't know the pot size when they bet. Maybe you were excellent at keeping track of the pot, but most players aren't willing to do it.
8. I'll note that excellent money at 1/2 is $20/hr. Most winning players are more like $10/hr and that probably only 20% to 30% of the players are winning players.
On pot sizes, I actually posted about this in another thread because I have a mild TBI that makes it difficult. So, I was trying hard to keep track until I realized it didn't really matter. After that, I just did a rough estimate and bet accordingly.
Based on a rough estimate of the hours played in all four sessions and counting only what I won over the buy ins, I was pretty close to $20/hr. The two winning sessions were many hours, as was one of the losing sessions. I thought that it seemed pretty darn high for a 1/2 game. Although, there were some huge pots and I won my fair share of those. But, like you said, might have been beginners luck. I can't wait to go back up there and try it again.