Quote:
Originally Posted by dogarse
Nominally a .25/.50c game but everyone is $200 deep+ and preflop raises are all in the 10-15x range.
V in this hand is a Young Korean university student. Played with him a year ago and he was pretty clueless but he seems to have read a book or studied up on the game and is playing fairly snug and solidly. I did see him x/jam $50 over a bet and a call on 689ss K with KJo early in the evening but it's the only time I saw anything slightly out of line.
Hero is BTN with 56s. Limps around, hero makes it $5.50 and V in BB calls and so does CO.
Board runs out 9cJs4s Ks 5d and V x/c $11 on flop, x/c $28 on turn and then x/jams over hero's $65 river bet. Hero has $130 behind.
So, $130 into $357 we need 26% equity to break even.
Against the widest reaslistic range I can come up with he 16 combos of flushes (AQ, AT, A9, A8, A7, A3, A2, QT-Q8, T9-T7, 98, 97, 87) which means he only needs to have 6 combos of hands we beat to make this a call.
And this is where I get really stuck. How often do you think these kind of players take this line with 99, JJ, QT (which are in his range 100%, unlike some of the flush combos I gave him)? Do you guys call or fold?
Usually I can work out a best line at least after the fact but this one is still leaving me stumped.
Forgive me, but it sounds like you raised into an unknown amount of limpers with 6 high, got called by 3 spots. You bet the flop with total air, get called, then for some odd reason, bet the turn on a essentially a bluff, with a prayer for a spade flush, miss your flush, but hit a pair of 5s, STILL bet on the river, get RAISED, and you are wondering what your equity is? ZERO. Your equity is zero here. You beat nothing, ever. Fold.
Should have checked the turn, taking the free shot at a flush, which was your only hope of winning this hand. As played, you should have also checked the river. The only hand drawing is like T8. QT got there. There are no other straight draws.
Vil prob has at worst, middle pair here. Your hand only has showdown value against A high hands that missed (AT, A8, A7, A6). I doubt vil shows up with AQ. But really, no A high hands are ever calling two streets of total whiffs, unless you can give an example of it happening. Even the absolute most novice, lvl1 thinking player knows that if they have nothing, to just fold on the turn there.
Sorry mate, you played that awfully.