Quote:
Originally Posted by daveMASS
From what I understand its 5 handed on the flop. Villain is probably 1st or 2nd to act, I find it hard to believe that they would be check raising for value anything worse than trips in a 5 person multi-way paired board. This seems like a value check/raise to me. And I dont think villain can think he is getting any value from anything you have beat (lesser Q or PP) based on him opening preflop in EP. Why would villain bloat the pot OOP against 4 players unless he has a monster. As the villain it would make much more sense to call and take a free card here if he is on a FD. He has only invested 6 dollars into the pot at this point. If it was a 2 or 3 way pot id understand, but given that theres 5 people in on the flop and you get check/raised, I just think in the long term this has -EV.
It's possible that villain is making a -EV move.
There are a lot of different ways that villain can interpret the action. One is that he thinks the other players would bet a queen because OMGFLUSHDRAW, but that a bet from the button is less likely to be a Qx hand, so semibluffing with a flush draw or check-raising for value with hands that beat 7x (or to see where you are at) become viable strategies in the eyes of some villains.
So, they might check-raise with AA or 88 or the nut flush draw against a button bet and check-call or even check-fold against a bet from any other position.
Of course, other players have at worst a hand like QJ when they check-raise the flop here.