Quote:
Originally Posted by Steamfish
Well I am assuming by posting that this hand was a cooler or a suckout. 22 on a 442 board is pretty vulnerable. I would say that Straddle has A4, 54 or 3n5h. MP probably has an overpair or a flush draw. VS MP you are golden. VS Straddle he has 4 outs on the turn and 7 on the river. Pokerstove says Straddle has a decent 28% against your under boat. So you are good but still vulnerable a third of the time. Ship and pray.
Pokerstove isn't factoring in that MP should also have 4x and he appears committed (even though it turns out he just had an amazing blow-up with an alleged AA) and so the running pair the board equity should be pretty much thrown out--> you were already going to lose to MP.
It's a pretty big mistake imo to protect your hand/shut someone out who might put a bunch of money in with what should be 3 outs (that you are worried about) twice.