Quote:
Originally Posted by nanpa
Thanks for all the replies.
AP hero folded AJo.
I was just surprised that a decent villian would lead into such a dry flop, instead of c/r if he did have a strong hand. Was hero's raise on the flop EV+?
You should always
consider raising a donk bet. But you shouldn't always
do it.
If villain is some little old man who hasn't done a thing all night, or its some chick who is afraid of putting money in the pot without the nuts, it's OK to fold to a donk bet. Don't pay off the nits.
If villain is your average low-limit dope, raising should be strongly considered, and overall is +EV. These guys stab at the pot with 1p, often with a weak kicker. Sometimes they are sweetening the pot with a draw. Sometimes just cleverly playing their hand the oppposite; ie, betting their weak hands and check-raising their strong hands. A raise otf often takes it down.
The exception is an ace-high board. These dopes never fold aces, no matter how lousy the kicker. Which is weird, they bet for information, but then don't use that information. Bluff-raising an ace high board is a loser. Value-raising is a huge winner.
So against your average low-limit dope, yeah you would raise here all day long. The problem here is, you're up against a skilled, thinking player. Caution is advised.
First of all, don't count on this guy check-raising sets. Check-raising the flop is fishy, it lets your opponent off the hook too cheaply. Donking your set is a good play if you think villain is passive and cally and isn't really thinking about your range.
When this guy donks, you need to stop and think. "Now, what the heck do you have that you didn't like enough to raise pre, was willing to call a $20 raise with, and now feel compelled to bomb this board with?" The answer is obvious.
Not convinced? OK, then call. But realize that, given this line, you are way, way not strong enough to raise.