Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 22,999
This situation is an easy one to apply 4!/fold to me. This is an easy fold for me because I don't like 4!ing with 55 here against the SB's range in a large pot. I think we can have a wider range if this 3! was against a button open, fwiw.
And if you flat, you'll also have to flat some of your premiums as well. But you're sacrificing EV by not 4! with AA, KK, AKs. So you end up defining your range to only a few hands, in a big pot, without the initiative. Whereas your opponents range is less defined, and they can play better against you. Plus, the og raiser has amazing odds to call now.
Fwiw, my SB 3! range vs a HJ open is [TT+, QJs+, K10s+, A10s+, AKo, A5s(as a bluff)] with some 88 and 99 mixed in depending on player. Given that I have no details on the SB, I'm going to give them a similar range.