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facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw

04-04-2012 , 07:31 PM
Playing 1/2; have longstanding history with villain who is an incredibly aggressive fish, shows down any two cards, and has shown himself willing to make all-in bluffs and overbets. (I am unsure as to his image of me.) He's tilted off 2 or 3 buyins on another table prior to this hand. My read on him is that his big bets are slightly weighed towards bluffs rather than for value.

Hero: 400
Villain: 500

Hero raises villain's straddle (5) to 20 in MP with KQ
All fold except villain.

Flop: A 6 3

Villain asks me what I have, I reply that I have a 'fairly good hand' and he open shoves all in (400 into a pot of about 40.)

My thought process here was that value hands are rarely played this way, so it is most likely some kind of semibluff. If it is a semibluff I have him crushed, and if he happens to have a value hand I have decent equity. On the other hand, the pot is really very small, and it's good to pick a less marginal spot (i did stove it and if i did it right i have 58% equity against non-set hands.)

Any thoughts?
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-04-2012 , 07:49 PM
u are not really getting the pot odds to call in this situation, besides that this villain is clearly stupid i am less inclined to flip a coin vs him. Because their will be better spots later to stack him.
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-04-2012 , 08:25 PM
Instafold ainec
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-04-2012 , 10:05 PM
Fold it
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 01:29 AM
fold
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 01:37 AM
The player in this particular case is very bad as you stated, why put yourself in a flip situation when you can crush him later?
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 11:41 AM
You only invested $20, fold and wait for a spot when you flop the nuts to get it in. He probably has a weak ace and you are not getting the odds.
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 11:54 AM
If he has something like 76dd he's got about a 5% edge on you. If it's 76o, you have the slight edge. You almost never have him 'crushed' here. Easy fold.
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 12:06 PM
The problem here is that you have blockers too so many of his flush draws...I mean the A K and Q of diamonds can't be in his hand that leaves his range something like...

A9, a8, a7,A5, a4 A2,
flush draws...Jxd, t9d-t7d, 98d,97d, 75d, 54d,

poker stove, this is 43% equity..

Even if you got rid of 1/2 of the aces say he only has a9,a8, a7 your equity is still just 47%....

its an easy fold...
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 12:09 PM
???

Nice first post...
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 12:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SeaUlater
???

Nice first post...
Borderline nescient first post.
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 01:08 PM
Just fold then lol. After and say i was going to do that if you checked to me
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote
04-05-2012 , 01:43 PM
If he's making bets like this start limping a lot and seeing tons of flops and then stack him when you hit top pair.
facing massive flop overbet from villain with history holding nutflush draw Quote

      
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