Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 12,292
so sick, i hate when this scenario happens.
Had fish been 'shoving' all his made draws?
If so, then ya, folding that turn is the right play.
But I would think that if villain had A6, he'd shove as well on that scary turn. Actually, from that standpoint, you'd have enough equity to call him and turn QQ into a bluff catcher.
hmmm.... The more I think about it, the more i think a call may be the correct play.
I think in order for this to be mathematically correct, villain would have to bluff in this spot at least 33%. So if villain is capable of bluffing here 1/3 the time then call.
And it sounds like to me this is definitely that kinda villain.
Anyways, folding is definitely not terrible and probably the correct play, especially if villain has been shoving all his made draws.
And in all honesty, fish that chase like this almost always shove their made draws. The thought of value betting never crosses their minds