Quote:
Originally Posted by MIB211
This analysis seems wrong. We don't need to set mine once we see V's hand. We can just jam every time the flop doesn't show an A or a K and win more that way, since we avoid getting stacked when V outflops us and usually deny him the ability to see turn and river, which he does get to see if we shove pre. Also, 14% of 400 is $56.
We're not HU with V. We haven't seen the third player's cards, so we can't just jam any non A/K flop. Or at least I don't think we can. The advantage of jamming is that it's very likely to get the third player out of the hand maximizing the value of having seen V's hand.
14% of 400 is indeed $56. Thanks for the correction. An editing error on my part. It should read:
(57% * 440) - (43% * 377) = $251 - $162 = $89.