Quote:
Originally Posted by High__Rolla
I've played live 1/2, 2/5, and 5/10 NL since 2005, and noticed that your average donkey has an unnatural fear of flushes. When the third flush card appears on the board, they are always afraid someone has it. Most will not value bet hands they should - use this to help hand read.
This also presents significant bluffing opportunities. Versus someone reping TP I love to call IP with an OESD, gutshot, or float planning to rep the flush if it comes. The straight draws are exceptionally good because your real outs are more disguised = good implied odds, while your bluff outs are obvious to even bad players.
Another good way to steal pots is one of the following common sequences:
3way flop checked around. If I am in MP or LP on the turn and its checked to me, I generally bet. The cards don't matter. Your opponents have either passed up 1 or 2 chances to be aggresive.
4way flop checked around. Same idea on the turn if you are in either LP.
When making this play, if called OOP this is generally a draw. If the probable draw doesn't complete on the river, fire again.
The raise to 3bb PF is generally weak, take advantage. This is player dependent and requires observation, but most donkeys aren't raising to 3 bbs in EP with strong pairs. They want to "protect" these with bigger raises.
The river check raise is rare. The river check raise bluff is extremely rare. Someone who check calls the flop and turn and then leads river has polarized his range and mostly to very strong hands.
Sounds like the outline to Bart Hanson's DeucePlays Ep. 43: Draws.
Rep the flush when you're on a straight draw for the bluff and bet huge on riv like your bluffing your missed flush draw when your straight hits. Floating and stabbing pots are also discussed, as are the riv math of draws after calling the turn. Pure gold.