Quote:
Originally Posted by davomalvolio
HAND: 4-handed. Button limps in for a $4 live straddle. I call the extra $3 from the SB with 6d4d. BB folds. Villain in Straddle checks.
FLOP: Jd8s3d (pot: $14, 3-ways). I check my flush draw. Straddle bets $10, Button calls, I call.
TURN: Jd8s3d 7h (pot: $44, 3-ways). I add a gutshot, and check. Straddle bets $30. Button folds. I call.
RIVER: Jd8s3d 7h Td (pot: $100)
RESULT: I check. He bets $60. I check-raise to $160. He tanks for a bit and folds.
I’m almost certain once I’ve decided to check I need to raise—he’s in an absolutely miserable spot with a straight, but I think he needs to call (particularly if he has a Diamond with the 9). And I’m not going to call if he makes it $260 so I’m only risking $100 if I’m behind, not $200.
My biggest question was the “Should I donk lead the River?” one. Every other time I’ve been in this spot (OOP where my obvious draw came in on the River), I’ve donk-led, and my limited understanding of GTO-solver land leads me to believe this is mostly solid (the aggressor v caller dynamic should flip on nuts-changing rivers), but….like, when I check-call / check-call / lead I am NEVER bluffing. That’s like the most under-bluffed line in the world. So I thought…especially knowing that my V is aggressive and can go for light value (as in our hand history)….why not check to either let him bluff a potential “scare card” (if he puts me on AJ) or go for light value with two-pair or a straight….comfortable in the belief that I don’t have a flush because
everyone always donk-bets a flush there!
I don’t know. Maybe it was bad and I got lucky. Or maybe he just had a straight and it didn’t matter what I did, I was getting $60 on the River regardless.