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Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot?

03-02-2024 , 03:02 AM
1/3 NLHE, 9 handed.

V - Unknown to me. Known to others. Has been very quiet at the table hardly playing any hands. 4 hours sample size. He's played every hand he's been in quiet and passive and hasn't shown down hardly anything and his stack hasn't moved. He folds 3 orbits then opens and everyone folds and he picks up the blinds. I 3-bet him once from BB with QJo when he opened 15 from BTN when folded to and he folded. Covers. CO.

H - Been card dead all night. Should leave but hate leaving down a bit (big leak I have). 285$ SB.

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Folds to V in CO who opens 12, BTN folds, I call SB with Q T, BB loose passive calls. 3-ways first to act.

Flop 35 - K 9 8

I check, BB checks, V bets 20, I call (?), BB folds.

Turn 75 - A

I check, V checks

River 75 - Q

I check, V bets 35, I x/r to 110 (?)
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 06:25 AM
don't love calling pre vs a strong range, feels like you'll end up OOP with a weak pair or draw too often, I probably fold and wait for the next hand, would rather 3bet than call

hate calling on the flop, you're OOP with a gutter and backdoor flush, that's just burning money and definitely the worst decision in this hand imo

turn check is fine

river looks a bit spewy to me especially vs a nit, I'd expect most made hands to lead out here so your line looks kinda sus. The only better hands that might fold are Kx single pair hands, and given it's 1/3 a lot of guys sigh-call with that anyway
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 07:47 AM
I'd 3b this pre a lot but calling is fine sometimes. It's best to avoid paying the rake if possible. Folding is pretty much out of the question. He's opening to 4bb which I guess is standard? I'd just go $35 - $40 still.

Flop is fine. If you are going to bluff - this would be the spot to do it, as played since you did not bluff flop, you cannot continue with a bluff on this river so everything is fine until the river, which you should just fold.

If you did want to bluff, you can raise the flop - and pretty much continue on turn and jam river.

AP just fold river.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 08:44 AM
Looks wp to me, maybe the only thing I would do differently is raise bigger on the river.

Your value range is mostly JT, and that probably wants to just check jam.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 09:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bloobird
don't love calling pre vs a strong range, feels like you'll end up OOP with a weak pair or draw too often, I probably fold and wait for the next hand, would rather 3bet than call

hate calling on the flop, you're OOP with a gutter and backdoor flush, that's just burning money and definitely the worst decision in this hand imo

turn check is fine

river looks a bit spewy to me especially vs a nit, I'd expect most made hands to lead out here so your line looks kinda sus. The only better hands that might fold are Kx single pair hands, and given it's 1/3 a lot of guys sigh-call with that anyway
My experience at 1/3 is that Kx will actually not even bet. This looks like KQ or maybe even AQ.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 11:34 AM
Preflop is whatever, I like 3b oop in this situation.

Flop: it's kinda hard to float oop. I probably find a fold.

turn: standard

River: What is V folding here getting 2-1 to call?

Jam or fold.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 05:51 PM
River way bigger. You’re repping really polar.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 06:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OmahaDonk
River way bigger. You’re repping nothing.
I dont believe JT allows a potential check through on the river at 1/3 as the turn checked through.


Question for stupid banana - would you check the river if you had JT in hopes of check raising the river after you checked flop and the turn checked through?


I personally think based on sizing etc its a total punt
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 08:02 PM
Its a bit of a punt for sure. Hero just doesn't have enough value hands to xr on river, and a lot of them would not take such a passive line.

Of course, villain needs to be good enough to understand that, but river xr seems extremely optimistic.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-02-2024 , 11:09 PM
Result:
Spoiler:
V tank calls with AKo
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-03-2024 , 03:33 AM
I like the hand on every street except that your river CR sizing should be much larger. Go $180+ or just CR shove.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-03-2024 , 10:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stupidbanana
Result:
Spoiler:
V tank calls with AKo
Spoiler:
So I was almost exactly right.

This is the problem with river check/raise bluffs at low stakes. You are targeting a folding range that probably would never have bet the river in the first place. If you move up to where people make more thin value bets on the river then the play is more defensible. At low stakes this is spew.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote
03-03-2024 , 10:52 AM
QT is a good check raise bluff because it can win in a check check line but is not good enough to check call. And it blocks rivered nuts, sets and 2p which are the main bet call or bet jam hands.
Card dead punt or reasonable x/r spot? Quote

      
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