Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
We do not want to get it in before the flop.
We are getting a great price to call off, even if we give the villain a range of {KK+, AKs, AKo}; but if we jam, the villain will be calling with a range like that, and we most certainly do not have the 50%+ equity we need. The money we call with goes in good because of the pot odds. The money we raise with goes in bad.
Moreover, we have position on the villain, and if we jam, we through that advantage away, reduced though it is by the small SPR.
Basically, we want to call and see a flop. If there is an A, K, or Q on the flop we are giving up; if we have an overpair to the board we are calling off with the rest of our stack and losing to their overpairs and (usually) beating their AK; and if we flop a set we are almost always good.
Terrible advice.
For one, if you assume V is only calling with AA/KK and AK, that means he's folding QQ. Which is good.
We are 40% against AA/KK and AK. There's over $100 in pot and will be $500 with our $200 and v's $200. With $500 in the pot, we are literally getting the exact price we need at 40% equity.
You claim you want to keep position, but then say we are giving up on A, K, Q flops. Which means we aren't using our position at all. And you're taking a passive set mining line when we don't have stacks deep enough to set mine.
If you're just going to fold all A, K, and Q flops, you should just fold now. You're allowing V to jam 100% of his range and you're just folding to a very large amount of flops.
If we just call, we are almost obligated to call flop shoves that have a single A, K, or Q as when we call, we give V the opportunity to bluff and he will likely jam most all flops. We can fold very bad flops like A K Q, A K X, K Q x.......but the rest we have to call if we just flat here. Otherwise you're just torching money and should fold preflop.