380 effective, 1/2 with 5 straddle UTG.
88 in LJ, two limps, I overlimp, SB raises to 35, I call
Flop AK8 two spades, he bets 20, I call, turn Kh.
He checks I bet 100, river 7c, he checks I bet 75, he jams, I call.
Thoughts on river… is it even a value bet at that point? V is tighter with open raises and seems competent, hasn’t gotten out of line so far. Maybe fold to a jam? No flush on board.

Raise first in to $30 pre.

Flop is fine.

Bet less on turn.

Bet more on river — I think the only size that makes sense given the stack sizes is to jam which is just about 2/3 pot.

AP on river you only have to call a 1/3 pot all-in ($150 into $475, so getting over 4:1?). Seems like a no-brainer call given the price. He could be raising Kx because you bet a small size on the river, or you run into a rare bluff that you induced by using small sizing.

raise preflop to $30.

as played raise flop to $60-80 and get him to start shoveling chips in with a worse hand. IMO you should be almost all in after the turn.

that turn sucks though. i mean if he doesnt 3b AQ you beat nothing that will call any substantial bet. so in this instance then yes check turn, check riv.

What is the range of the SB? Does he ever raise KQ/KJ from any position?

If no, I'm looking to get to showdown at the turn as he has a condensed range of hands with only a few combos of AQ that we beat that would also call a bet.

I would have raised pre, as played raised flop, as played check back turn, as played check back river.

I agree raise flop. At the turn, why would we be looking to GII (especially as played). What range are we targeting? Do we think as described, V has a lot KQ/KJ in his range? He has 9 combos of AK, 3 of AA, 1 of KK and 12 of AQ. If he has AQ we are not getting all his chips. If he has JJ-QQ he's giving up on the turn. The only way we want to shovel chips in is if we think he can have KQ/KJ in his range.

sorry should have clarified

purpose of the flop raise is to plan to try to almost GII in on most turn cards

however that particular turn i think we have to abort the plan and check back

It’s not a 3bet pot, it’s a single raised pot. He opened pre over limps. I would guess he has AQ in his range.

SPR is a bit over 2 on the turn and we beat a ton of hands that bet flop and check turn, like AQ/AJ — that’s 24 combos there.

We lose to maximum of 10 combos of boats/quads if he always traps with AK+ like this on turn.

The small bet on flop looks a bit more like AA if I had to guess, since AK needs a bit more protection. We may lose to fewer combos if that’s the case,

We should be betting for value turn and river, if we are indeed ahead of such a good chunk of his range. If you assume he would often limp behind AJ/AQ pre, I can see the point, but, I’m not sure that’s the case.

yeah this is correct, basically ignore my posts ITT lol