Quote:
Originally Posted by chillrob
I don't get why you guys seem to want V to fold on the turn. Why not try to get value from someone who probably has two or three outs?
I recommended a jam, but just based on SPR - $395 in pot and $240 back, with 2nd pair, top kicker, against a "degenerate rec" V who has us covered, and who at best has a worse 1P hand (K6 or K3), or just K-high with the nut flush draw.
If we jam, V will be getting 2.6 to 1 on a call. If we check back and V jams river, we'll be getting 2.6 to 1 on a call. If we just bet small, like $100, and V calls, then jams river from up front, we'll be getting 4.25 to 1, and will have to call off no matter what the river card is.
Right now, we know our hand is best. We can get value from K6 and K3, his draws, plus offsuit K-high hands like KQ, KJ, and KT, and maybe even some other weird KX combos, if he thinks we're just playing back at him with air, and K-high might be good.
I'm indifferent to him folding out everything that can catch up here, versus him calling, and just hoping our hand holds up. We don't want to just check back or bet small, then face a donk jam on the river, if it's a T, J or Q, or a spade, when we'll have to call off the rest of our stack. I'd rather just get stacks in against this guy now.