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Bet sizing to deny proper odds. Bet sizing to deny proper odds.

10-31-2018 , 12:50 PM
I may be mis-reading BUT

I think OP ??? more along this line

V accidently turns over 98 spades
you know he's got a spade draw

he says if you shove I fold
you know V can't bluff river as you saw his cards

SO what do we bet that denys him odds but makes us more $$$$$$
Bet sizing to deny proper odds. Quote
10-31-2018 , 01:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jambre
In practice, what likely happens when we adjust our bets to deny the FDs is we end up losing value vs weaker pairs etc and betting larger than necessary with our bluffs, or end up with an unbalanced readable bet-size where we are denying odds with value hands and not with our bluffs.
Lots of good info ITT but I found this particularly insightful. Thanks.
Bet sizing to deny proper odds. Quote
10-31-2018 , 05:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jambre
Consider that if we are sure of the opponents holding we can exploit it in other ways than denying proper pot odds...
For example, if we reverse the hands we probably play it better with the draw as we possibly x/r and pick up a bet OTF from the cb (not in THIS specific case of 3bettor having KQ but vs the 3bettors cb range), or call with correct odds to draw but likely pick up an extra bet from top/bottom of 3bettors range when we hit (compare this to now where we're near top of our range but aren't paying extra when the draw comes in turn/river).

Strong flush draws are generally quite profitable hands so trying to stop them from being so isn't the greatest. In practice, what likely happens when we adjust our bets to deny the FDs is we end up losing value vs weaker pairs etc and betting larger than necessary with our bluffs, or end up with an unbalanced readable bet-size where we are denying odds with value hands and not with our bluffs.
I agree with this and its mostly why I stopped just shoving all in in spots like this, but in this case when Im almost certain that villain does have a draw (a FD or JTs), a shove maybe better than betting $250.

I cant come up with another hand that this guy would play this way besides a FD, most likely a combo draw, or JTs. Honestly I dont think he would lead $150 on the flop with JTs unless its exactly JsTs which is why I would call any non spade A/9 river if he shoves. And I would bet them if he checked to me.
Bet sizing to deny proper odds. Quote
10-31-2018 , 06:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
I agree with this and its mostly why I stopped just shoving all in in spots like this, but in this case when Im almost certain that villain does have a draw (a FD or JTs), a shove maybe better than betting $250.

I cant come up with another hand that this guy would play this way besides a FD, most likely a combo draw, or JTs. Honestly I dont think he would lead $150 on the flop with JTs unless its exactly JsTs which is why I would call any non spade A/9 river if he shoves. And I would bet them if he checked to me.
I don’t know why you have to worry so much about some exact sizing with all the info you have here. I mean as long you avoid checking (when he would call at least $1) and shoving (where he calls never) then you just make an exploitative stab at his max calling threshold and do that, like you did. He called, cool. Against these people you don’t have to worry about anything else. Rivers are of no consequence as you’ll recognize quite well whether you have 100% or 0% of the pot.
Bet sizing to deny proper odds. Quote
10-31-2018 , 06:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Amanaplan
I don’t know why you have to worry so much about some exact sizing with all the info you have here. I mean as long you avoid checking (when he would call at least $1) and shoving (where he calls never) then you just make an exploitative stab at his max calling threshold and do that, like you did. He called, cool. Against these people you don’t have to worry about anything else. Rivers are of no consequence as you’ll recognize quite well whether you have 100% or 0% of the pot.
There's a wide range between betting $0 and $685. I did take a stab at his calling threshold. I bet $250 and he barely called so I'm guessing I was right at his threshold.

Clearly if I know he has a draw, I want called but I want him to make a mistake by calling too much. I think $250 is too close to the correct amount for him to call without making a mistake. If $250 is his threshold to call and $250 gives him exactly correct odds to call, then betting more than $250 has to be better. He either calls too much or folds and gives up all of his equity.
Bet sizing to deny proper odds. Quote

      
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