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Berate me for folding aces! Berate me for folding aces!

11-05-2012 , 06:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CajunDragon
My image was that of a tight ass green tea drinking nit. Eff stacks $220 at 1-2 NLH Aria.

Villain was old guy. Has played solid, not bluffed or shown any major aggression. A few hands prior he was just goaded in to making a river call by a total drunk who ended up having him beat with one pair (AA). So I assume he may be on mini-tilt.

I'm dealt AdAs in MP, villain raises UTG to $11. I make it $40, everyone else's folds & he tank calls. Flop is 7d3h2d. He checks, I bet half pot ($40'ish) and he raises me all in for $180 more.

He is a passive/caller not aggro LAG. Also, I can't put him on nut flush draws since I have the ace of diamonds. He has had great respect for my bets the whole night & we'd been friendly. I've shown great strength so far and he's able to ship over me? I ended up folding and he showed 77 for a set. Friends I ask have said this is too timid and that it's a snap call and that I'll be a long term loser making these hero folds.

I'm not entirely convinced he would play TT-KK that same way. He'd never call a $40 pre flop raise with 33,22 so I have to be right damn near the whole time putting him exactly on top set.

Sometimes I feel like combinations be damned. If you know a player well and he'd never take a line without 'having it'. I struggle with this and if the table knew that they could bluff me with impunity.

How horrible is folding here even though correct in this case?
He did it with 77 ... Same thing as 33 and 22.

Oh, and thank him for shoving and not getting paid when he hits his miracle two-outer. He calls $40 pre ... gets $40 more out of you on the flop and then shuts you out.

As for the actual hand, you are calling $140 to win what is now $160 in the pot? I don't think I'm folding.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-05-2012 , 06:29 PM
yeah this is kk/qq way too often and some old guys just don't 4bet but i've made this fold before and i've made this call before

could be worse
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-05-2012 , 08:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jlozan84
It's definitely player dependent. Similar situation for me last night. QQ, flop 267r. I c-bet 1/2 pot, tight lady c/r over ships for 3x pot. I folded and she showed JJ and said "put you on AK and don't want you to hit your ace!".
Yes, but that's the only hand she could have had that you could beat. The rest of her range crushes you. So there is the opposite of what OP posted...you folded the winner, yet your fold is positive EV long term against a "tight lady" (is there any other kind?)--especially a check-raiser.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-05-2012 , 08:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aesah
I can't count the number of players I've encountered who will only have sets in their range here and nothing else. wp.
This is especially true in live play. Very good point. If you trust your read and you know what you're doing, folding one pair isn't the worst thing in the world, and obviously was hugely profitable in this particular situation.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-09-2012 , 11:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by persuadeo
Cajundragon, I played with you at Aria 1/3 once and what stood out was that your reads in big pots were correct all night. While your friends may be right if they are suggesting that you seem to give up too easily in some profitable situations, I don't think this is the particular spot or aspect of your game to second guess too much. You used all the information you had and made a reasonable decision, so not sure how anyone can berate you much. Good luck.
Uh oh. I gotta start posting under an alias so I don't get the s**t bluffed outta me. lol Don't worry, I'm snap calling anyone with an iPad, backpack, poker patch, hoodie, or <40 years old.

But seriously. Lotta good feedback on this post & I appreciate coming on twoplustwo and getting a good discussion going.

I' d have to be confident in my read such a very high % of the time to make this fold correct. I don't think that is the case if you also factor in the possible tilt in to the equation. Think I've spent enough time thinking about it. A call isn't horrible and a fold isn't unforgivable vs this villain IMHO.

CD
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-09-2012 , 12:45 PM
W/o results I might berate a bit, but these spots are read, player dependent. You had a read, you went w it, and it worked. Sometimes it doesn't work, but that's what reads are all about.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-09-2012 , 04:24 PM
Its really sick, and if he's 2 bet then calling with mid pocket pairs, you can 3 bet him light and c-bet him and just rake in the money... If he's only flatting pairs and 4 betting big hands, 7.5/8.5 times he cant continue past flop.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-09-2012 , 06:58 PM
I'm all about the hero folds in the face of shoves from old guys, but I think this is a bad fold nonetheless, because most bad players are going to just stupidly overvalue 88-KK here and old nits love to slowplay their big pairs. If the read is more specific then go with it, but I think he's going to think he has the nuts with like JJ here, particularly if you think he's on tilt.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-09-2012 , 11:16 PM
I am new to 2+2 and am trying to learn. I think you have to rely on your reads. I agree alot of players are going to over value too many of the hands you beat to fold.

It almost seems like since you and the V were talking then he might of been being "friendly" and letting you know fold.
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11-09-2012 , 11:21 PM
Would not fold.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-10-2012 , 02:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jondewalt
I think online poker is more for "exact correct lines" to be taken every time over and over to maximize every repeated situation. I really do feel like live poker is more about focusing on specific opponents (read this month's COTM, it's really good). Online this is a snap-call, and when he turns over 77 you can say "wtfomg rigged!" But live, VS a person you feel you have a good read on, I think any move is correct if you have reason to believe it is. If this guy is nitty to you and only raises with nuts and he suddenly CRAI on the flop then it's time to fold if that's what you think makes you the most money.

Of course, it would be a very hard fold for me to do in the seat... I agree with everyone that you are crushing his range... and my mind would think "why would he CRAI top-set instead of bleeding me?? Unless he thinks I have a weird draw?"

But all that said, if I thought I was beat, then I would fold - no matter the situation. You have more info live, and it's great to use it. If you thought you were beat, then called "because you're supposed to" and were shown that you were correct, and you just donated your stack by going against your skill/observation based read, then what's the point of making reads??

good fold (for that specific situation).
+1
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-10-2012 , 02:37 AM
You say he may be tilting a bit so I see the raise utg with 77-33-22...Now when he tank calls your 40 pre you can get rid of 33-22 in most cases(depends on how tilted he is)...When he tanked did he look like he might possibly fold?...I would be staring him down the whole time to sense for weakness...If he tanked and you felt weakness I would put him on top set like you did...If he tanked like he was debating a raise I would call his all in putting him on kk-qq...I would probably bet 55 on the flop and fold to a raise...IMO 40 looks kinda weak and would probably get a raise out of a agressive thinking player...This is judged all off reads on this individual and is situational dependant...The way you explained everything here I find a fold in THIS SPOT
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11-10-2012 , 04:36 AM
I don't see how 22 and 33 are worse hands to call a 3bet with than 77 in any way. Surely you've got basically set mining value in both cases... it's obv slightly different but the difference is miniscule.
Berate me for folding aces! Quote
11-10-2012 , 02:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ajmachine
He would probably reraise kk-qq preflop. If he isn't that aggressive then on the flop he might just call 88-jj. So you are not beating much. Based on your reads and the fact you had the blocker to the nut flush draw I think you made a good fold.

This fold is really player dependent.
Agreed, but it's close. I wouldn't make this fold often. As a matter of fact having the Ad may push me to call since I have an small added chance of backdooring a flush if he does have a set.
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