Quote:
Originally Posted by Playbig2000
Reads on him would be important, but usually when someone donks out 4 ways in that spot for hp with a FD otf it's usually two pair or at least TPTK IME much more than draws or weaker aces. I would fold to most players.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Playbig2000
IME it's not usually a 2nd pair or weak TP type hand when they're doinking out in a multiway pot and first to act, but like I said it could be player dependent. Readless I coulld fold and not even care at all about it, but that's just me but if there wasn't a FD it would change things around alil.
TPTK would be AK. You think he's flat-calling a BTN raise with AK, with the BB still to act, and 2 limpers already in the hand?
If V is competent, he should only be donking multi-way with thick value, which would be AQ or 44 here. Maybe A4 at some frequency, but A4 is counterfeited with the Q on the turn, so it's kind of irrelevant. Maybe he's flatting all those hands pre.
But even a good, thinking player is going to check-call flop with those hands at some frequency, and look to donk-lead or check-raise some turns.
If he's donking for value with a strong hand, we'd expect him to size up on the turn when we call flop, especially when he improves to a boat on a two-tone board. He wouldn't want to lose value if we're going to fold when another diamond comes on the river.
Hero has a ton of AK in his range. We'd expect V to go for max value with AQ and 44 when the K comes on the river.
Otherwise, if he's donking out with weaker hands, those would be weaker AX and draws, presumably flush draws. Those hands would be more likely to tread cautiously and bet smaller on turn and river, the way V did here, once hero calls flop.
If we raise flop and get 3B, it's an easy fold. If we raise turn and get 3B, it's an easy fold. If we raise flop or turn, and get flat called, we can check back river if we're worried he's slow-playing a big hand.
Once we get to the river, and it's a K, it won't be easy for V to call a jam, the way this was played, because we could get to the river with KK, when he takes this sizing on flop and turn. We have $203 left behind when we get to the river, plenty of stack depth left to jam, and put V in the blender, maybe even push his AX combos off a chop.
I guess I just don't see how flat calling V's donk-bets on three streets is the best way to play this. Seems like we should be raising at some point. We really couldn't ask for a better run-out for our hand, since we're not even losing to AJ, and we block JT.
Seems to me like we'd either want to push V's worse AX off a chop, or just fold, if we're convinced he flopped 2P or a set and turned a boat.