Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
1) If we flop top pair and everyone folds, we just won 60 bucks bro. That's a big pot.
I agree that winning the pot on the flop is great result. The problem is, what if we don't win it? We bet $55 into the $75 pot and get one caller. Now the pot is $185 and we've got $120 left. I sure hope one pair is best, cuz we're shipping any turn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
2) You need to do some math here, you'll find the other people don't have implied odds for just about anything if you're raising AQs. They would be close if we only did this with AA.
The first guy or so who called the raise, especially not knowing if people behind them are going to tag along, yes, are probably making a mistake. But the last couple of callers can easily call here with a wide range of speculative hands. I mean, the 3rd, 4th, etc. callers can easily setmine here getting immediate odds of 3+:1, plus decent implied odds in a multiway pot plus position.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
3) Worrying about draws sucking up our equity is just wrong. This is reverse implied odds and is an argument against your line. Not for it.
I'm not worried about just draws and obviously I'd love to get my money in against them. What I'm worried about is that the only hands giving me action on this flop are typically hands that crush me or at the very worst hands that have a decent draw (and will beat me 1/3 of the time); total these up, and we're not looking so good against hands that call our flop bet.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
4) Creating a high leverage situation with a premium hand is always a good idea.
I'm not exactly sure what you mean by this.
Look, if we got this HU with the same SPR, then we're laughing and obviously I'd be doing this every day of the week. But instead we've got a low SPR but are in an eleventeen way pot; not quite as good a time to be had, IMO.