Quote:
Originally Posted by Stupidbanana
Holy crap look at these replies. I wouldn't be able to fold here unless maaaaaybe the guy is some turbo nit.
What does V have?
Like let's pretend V is some formless blob, so we can just think about what a likely range is for a x/r here.
UTG limp, we raise BTN, UTG calls. HU to:
Qd8d2s with AdQh and bet 2/3 pot.
V raises big.
This is a great flop for AA/KK, esp. HU. But let's pretend that never happens.
Let's pretend he's doing this with all straight flush combos: JdTd/Jd9d/Td9d ... now what else? Obv. 6 combos. of 88/22.
Can't have AdX, so you think he limp/calls Kd2d UTG? What about 3d2d? You think people limp/call UTG and then x/r even KdJd?
Do you think someone limp/calling UTG will see this flop with 7d6d and decide "You know what, I think I'm now going to x/r and stack off 100bb if BTN doesn't fold" ... why do you think they limped? (Hint: Probably not for pot control if they are stacking off 76s here).
To call flop I would have to have reads that V is really bad going nuts with KQo or even JJ here, or takes very passive lines pre. and then bluffs a lot post and in both cases I'd be looking to call down bricks ... not call hoping for running diamonds or something.
Any sane range has AdQh with 14-23% equity.
tl;dr There are few draws, we block almost all of them and it would be inconsistent of V to be trying to semi-bluff anything here.