Quote:
Originally Posted by NittyOldMan1
its wrong to assume villain has a pair. plenty of 40 yo women have broadway hands here or things like Axs. you can also get her to fold a chop. if you give a free card to a 6 outer, or the turn is a brick, she bets and you fold the best hand, its a huge punt.
I wouldn't assume anything strictly based on an opponent's age or gender. I'd use demographics in my read, sure, but they're just a factor to consider.
I'm mostly going off the pre-flop action, stack size, and OP's description of here as a bad player. Bad players don't typically feel confident enough to call 3B's from OOP without some sort of hand they think is strong enough. That's generally going to be TT+ and decent AX combos.
If she has AK, I wouldn't necessarily count on her folding it to a flop jam, though that is possible. The problem is that we have removal to AK, so her range is more weighted towards hands we're beating, like KQ and worse, or pocket pairs.
If we flat call pre, we keep the pot smaller. She may bet smaller on the flop, allowing us to call and see a turn. If she barrels turn, it's doubtful AK is the best hand, so folding at that point would be prudent, not a punt.