Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 36,150
This is 1/3, right? No way a $18 preflop raise with an aggro image after 3 limpers is going to narrow the field, which is the only reason to raise preflop (imo). I would make it $25.
Is anyone going to pay off 3 streets with a worse A? If so, I would bet no more than a 1/2 PSB on each street (folding to a raise). Otherwise, if people can fold an A on the turn to a double barrel, I would bet on the bigger side on the flop (~3/4), check back the turn, to bet the river. I wouldn't hate checking back the flop either taking the latter route, although giving a free card to 3 opponents is kinda sucky.
Against this particular Villain, we only have about a PSB left on the turn. Do we feel committed against him? I'm actually really torn on the turn between flat out folding (we did give him 13x implied odds preflop to setmine), calling to see what he does on the river (perhaps even folding to a large bet???), and then when he bets weakass on the river to actually shoving for value.
Gpreflopsetupatoughspot,imoG