Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
AK flop top two pair AK flop top two pair

09-01-2023 , 01:41 PM
1/3 table V is relatively tight aggressive middle aged white guy sitting to my left. Seen him shove AsQs for 2x pot on 7s6d3d2s.
Hero with AhKc in the big blind. 3 Early position limpers, I raise 20.
V (UTG limper) calls and the other 2 EP limpers call as well.
Pot $80.
Flop AcKh4h. I bet 55 into 80.
V raises 135. I call.
Turn 7h so AcKh4h7h.
V all in for 355 into 350. Hero call.

Analysis:
Flop sizing was chosen to extract value from inferior Aces like AQ, AJ, AT, protection from hearts (not too much of a concern as hero has Ah). When V raises flop I heavily weighted him towards bottom set. He could also have some QhJh, QhTh, JhTh, ... especially since I saw him shove AsQs earlier for 2x pot. With this sizing though and since my bet looks so strong like I have Aces Kings or Ace King, I thought he was heavily skewed towards 44, especially since hero blocks nut flush draw with Ah. Knowing this I decided to call to see if I could hit a heart or A or K on the turn and evaluate what happens. I don't think he would be laying down a set if I jammed the flop for 350 on top of his 130 even though he would have been worried about bigger sets. He called an all shove versus me with AJo when I was using a short stack at one point and going all in several times preflop. I have 22% equity on the flop and 30% on the turn if he has 44. The pot odds were not quite good enough to call (need 33% equity) but at the time I knew it was close so put the money in.
AK flop top two pair Quote
09-01-2023 , 02:12 PM
Given your hand villain's raise here is so heavily weighted towards FDs and yeah sometimes he has 44 and A4s.

Given his limp call I think he can have 44 and A4s equally here.

I'm not loving it, but I'm calling.
AK flop top two pair Quote
09-01-2023 , 04:01 PM
Pretty sure I don't want this guy sitting to my direct left, especially non-short, so I'd get a seat change.

For me, preflop really depends on how difficult the limpers can be postflop, especially this deep. The more ABC they are, the more I'm cool with a raise (although if a reasonable sized raise isn't going to narrow the field and just create a super bloated low SPR pot, meh). The more difficult they can be, the more I'm fine with just seeing a flop here (I'll be completely outvoted on that / stopped reading right there, ldo).

SPR is 6 on a somewhat drawy board and we have top two pair, so I'd consider myself committed. With a less drawy board, we could plan for three streets with smallish bets. But on a drawy board, I think I'd more aim to get this done ASAP in two streets, which means either a overbet on the flop or a check/raise.

As played, we got our man to raise and so now I just shove the flop, especially OOP (would hate life if we checked turn and he checks back). I don't think we should be thinking of not committing ASAP in a SPR 6 pot with top two pair; if he has the lone reasonable set it's a cooler at this size, imo. So meanwhile lets punish him for getting too aggro with draws.

Turn spot is gross and I guess we can consider a hero fold at this point. We're only getting 2:1 so we don't have the odds against a flush or set. The question is whether we're actually ahead enough (and it is possible we are?); but a lotta A4/etc. might slow down to this flop action.

GcluelessNLnoobG
AK flop top two pair Quote
09-01-2023 , 06:06 PM
3bet jam the flop oop vs aggressive player with flush draw out there.
AK flop top two pair Quote
09-01-2023 , 06:50 PM
Flop x/r doesn't look like a FD. Without the A and K, how many does he have? Likely only the SCs he'd limp call, and if I'm reading it correctly he is raising with 2 additional players behind, so I discount just a draw, unless the prior aggression you observed was multiway. A4s (2), K4s (3), and 44 (3) seem more likely. Which suggests a call

If he plays a FD like that on the flop, it depends how many you put in his range
AK flop top two pair Quote

      
m