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AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check?

12-13-2015 , 10:49 PM
1/2 Live, 10player

bb $300
co (Hero = A A) = $400


preflop:
hj limps, hero raises to $12, sb calls, bb calls, hj folds

flop (pot = $37): 2 7 J
blinds check, hero bets $25, sb folds, bb calls

bb is a calling station.
I've seen him call flop with middle pair but turn and river were checked for that hand.
he showed at showdown thus how I know he called flop w/middle pair.

Turn ($87): 5
bb checks, hero bets $60, bb calls

hm... top pair? flush draw?

River ($207): 7
bb checks, hero?

uggg.. the thought of middle pair + flush draw crossed my mind.
seeing monsters under my bed???


check or value bet?
if value bet, how much? $60?

Last edited by AA Suited; 12-13-2015 at 10:54 PM.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-13-2015 , 11:04 PM
Omfg please bet/fold here. I'd bet $80-$90.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-13-2015 , 11:11 PM
Edit

My bad, not deep enough to bet/fold.
Bet $75/ call
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-13-2015 , 11:21 PM
Not deep enough? We wouldn't even be getting 5:1 if villain CRAI. There's no way we're good often enough to justify a call. However, a bet is mandatory regardless.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-13-2015 , 11:44 PM
$75-95 on the river
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-13-2015 , 11:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cannabusto
Not deep enough? We wouldn't even be getting 5:1 if villain CRAI. There's no way we're good often enough to justify a call. However, a bet is mandatory regardless.
Yep, read it right the first time.

$300 deep definitely bet/fold

$200 deep would bet/call
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 12:23 AM
it is very unlikely villain had a pair + Fd on the flop compared to how likely it is he has a J. If he's really a station, I would jam this river. If you think he'll get scared if you make a big bet, make it 90 and fold to a raise.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 12:25 AM
shove river and get looked up by Jx about always
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 12:29 AM
Gotta bet to a station.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 12:36 AM
trivial shove
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 12:54 AM
Are most stations really calling a pot sized shove otr with Jx? I mean, sure, shove it in against the calliest of stations, but can't see the average station calling a shove there, especially considering how a lot of stations turtle up when bets get that big.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 01:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by timmay28
shove river and get looked up by Jx about always
+1.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 01:37 AM
Yeah, I agree with the if-we-bet-we-shove crowd here. The 7 OTR creates an inelastic calling range, imo.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote
12-14-2015 , 02:33 AM
The 7 isn't a very bad card for us. I'd bet $140 and pray to get called.
AA: River scare card, Checked to me. Value bet or check? Quote

      
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