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AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max

07-14-2022 , 10:24 PM
A♠︎A♥︎HJ $1100 in stack. Bad Guy UTG has $700. Only thing I’ve seen from this guy is that leads all flops OOP he hits no matter if he gets 3bet.

UTG raises $15, I raise to $60. Only he calls. Flop is J♠︎10♥︎3♣︎ Pot $127

Player leads for $40.

So first question, what do you do here?

I raised $120. He calls. Pot $367

Turn is 9♦︎. He leads for $180.

So 2nd question, what do you do here?

I folded. He didn’t show. But I just felt like based on the player he has no less than two pair here.

Let me know your thoughts on this one.
AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max Quote
07-14-2022 , 10:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Siberian13
A♠︎A♥︎HJ $1100 in stack. Bad Guy UTG has $700. Only thing I’ve seen from this guy is that leads all flops OOP he hits no matter if he gets 3bet.

UTG raises $15, I raise to $60. Only he calls. Flop is J♠︎10♥︎3♣︎ Pot $127

Player leads for $40.

So first question, what do you do here?

I raised $120. He calls. Pot $367

Turn is 9♦︎. He leads for $180.

So 2nd question, what do you do here?

I folded. He didn’t show. But I just felt like based on the player he has no less than two pair here.

Let me know your thoughts on this one.
Well, let's see. What are you NOT beating on the turn that he could plausibly have?

You're losing to any two pair. But that means he raised preflop with J10/J9/109. Not impossible, but... Furthermore, I would expect him to re-pop you on the flop if he had two pair, so J10 is probably out.
You're losing to a set. That, unfortunately, comports with him having JJ or 1010. I think he would have check-folded 99, and whether he would have raised UTG preflop with 33 is dubious.
You're losing to KQ. That, unfortunately, fits well with his actions so far.

Of these, I think KQ is the likeliest.

Now...could you be beating him?

Possibly. He could have KK or QQ. He might play those as strongly as he did. Other than that...I can't really imagine him having something like AJ or KJ--not because he fired on the flop and called your raise--he would probably do both with those hands--but because the turn 9 lit a fire under his butt. J9? Implausible, given his preflop raise.

So without trying to game out how many "combos" of this that blah blah are possible (a useless exercise under any circumstances), I'd say you're losing a vast majority of the time here. You may not even have any outs.

Fold, with a heavy sigh. You only have one pair, after all.
AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max Quote
07-14-2022 , 10:47 PM
I like the flop raise vs described vilain.

V should have 520$ on the turn so the 180$ is pretty pot comitting, honestly i’d rather have QQ or KK in this spot than AA, probably folding and not telling a soul.

Does V lead a lot on turn too even after being raised?
AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max Quote
07-15-2022 , 03:12 AM
Flop raise is good, maybe a little larger would be better but fine.

As played - calling turn and hoping for a cheap showdown. Not folding to half pot vs a guy whose range has way too many leads and probably plenty of 1p hands we are ahead of
AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max Quote
07-15-2022 , 04:30 AM
This spot sucks but it screams strength. He doesn't care if you raise him so he has to have a big hand here. I would give him credit since its a turn bet and even a set otr doesn't always save us. I would think "nice hand, good bet sir" and fold the aa.
AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max Quote
07-15-2022 , 05:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Siberian13
A♠︎A♥︎HJ $1100 in stack. Bad Guy UTG has $700. Only thing I’ve seen from this guy is that leads all flops OOP he hits no matter if he gets 3bet.
So basically his flop bet and call doesn´t mean anything and I think his range here is wider than many other posters have assigned. I´ve seen this type of player overplay Jx holdings over multiple streets, I´d say he´s likely to have a hand like AJ/KJ/QJ here, or even QT or AQ or something, now having picked up additional equity with a straight draw. Unless we have seen him slow down with weaker holdings on the turn, I´d call with AA here and re-evaluate the river. Sure, it sucks the times we are up against a set or a straight, but folding AA here seems too weak.
AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max Quote
07-15-2022 , 09:51 AM
These guys who open from UTG then flat a 4x 3bet don't usually get cute with AK or start turning hands into bluffs, they usually just play straight up. Call flop, fold turn.
AA 2/5 NL <img ,000 Max Quote

      
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