Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
A9s: why now, bro? A9s: why now, bro?

04-26-2024 , 11:54 PM
Short stack combat is kinda awkward.
Flop, I declined to cbet, thinking I'd be better off to keep the option to c/r ai or see a free turn rather than cbet and be in no mans land if called.

V1 has been playing kinda tight, maybe weak tight but you know how some players get more desperate as their stack whittles down. He has $105.
V2 plays looser and usually straightforward. I.e. in position I think he would bet a pair and call the flop with pairs and some floats. Stack $240ish.
Hero covers. Image should be fairly solid.

Folded to hero in LoJack raise A9 to $10. HJ (v1) throws out $7, thinking he was the raiser but fixes it to $10 when he realizes I have raised. And it's credible that he has some sort of raising hand but seemingly middling, as he didn't seem disappointed to miss a 3b opp.

V2 on btn calls, blinds fold.

Flop ($26, 3 way) T32
Checks around.

Turn 9
Hero bets $25 and v1 shoves for $95. I call?
A9s: why now, bro? Quote
04-27-2024 , 12:33 AM
Ignoring further rake effects since I don't know if they exist or not, you need 32.4% equity. Your equity against hands that are beating you ranges between 25% (AcTc) to 31.8% (QTdd), except for sets which are super rare given his attempt to raise pre and the flop check. If you're ahead, you are 75%+ except against big combo draws.

If we make some pessimistic assumptions, like we are 25% versus the range of hands that beats us, and 70% versus the hands we are beating/chopping: we only need to be winning/chopping around 17% of the time to break even with a call. Easy call, it's never going to be much of a mistake.
A9s: why now, bro? Quote
04-27-2024 , 04:48 AM
What did the button do? If they folded then yes call
A9s: why now, bro? Quote
04-27-2024 , 05:05 AM
I would just bet the flop. Turn should bet smaller. As played call.
A9s: why now, bro? Quote
04-27-2024 , 12:09 PM
I would snap call. I find it hard to believe he checks back a 10 on flop so i expect him to have some random 9 or some kind of draw.

I would bet flop or 15.
A9s: why now, bro? Quote
04-27-2024 , 02:41 PM
Betting vs checking otf, either are fine. Id be more inclined to bet a bare FD than pair + FD on the turn, happy to check and realize equity. As played easy call
A9s: why now, bro? Quote
04-28-2024 , 10:38 AM
Agree with others. Hard to find what strong hands he has that check back flop on a two-tone board. His turn jam seems like a shove-and-pray. He could be jamming 77-88 or AK, hoping you'll fold, because you were just betting a BDFD you picked up on the turn.

With 2PTK and the NFD, seems like a mandatory call.
A9s: why now, bro? Quote
05-02-2024 , 04:39 PM
Pretty straight-forward call, but since I'm the pre-flop raiser, I lead the flop with the intention to gii.
A9s: why now, bro? Quote

      
m