Quote:
Originally Posted by Pay4Myschool
This is the last thing you want to do IMO. You are overrepping your hand. I tank call both the flop and turn. Then I will evaluate the river play. I am tank calling for 2 reasons:
1) To look weak to villain to allow him to bluff (i.e. busted FD)
2) Obviously at this point we aren't folding, but if hes super strong he probably wont make such a big bet OTR if we give off weak signals.
Preflop $30 is about right.
Your line and my line are roughly the same IMO. I don't think a raise here is a horrible option.
If we go with my line, and he calls our raise(and yeah basically we're turning our hand in a bluff here, as you pointed out, but we want to seem like we have strength to accomplish two things; to try and fold out relatively weak hands that beat us such as AQ, AK, and to give him a chance to fold), I'm not investing more money in the pot, as he most likely has us beat with 2 pair or a set. It doesn't matter what he bets on the river, we fold because most likely he's taking us to valuetown as we've gotten the information we need on the turn. So we're down the 150ish bet. If he were weak/on a draw, he would most likely fold here as he doesn't have enough behind to make us fold if he were to shove(in his mind we're strong).
If we go with your line, don't you think we're just kinda sticking our balls out and hoping for the best?
We call the 45, and then we face a river bet of let's just say 100. There's no option for him to fold, but yeah you're right he could be bluffing on a busted FD. But what do we do if he shoved the rest of his stack? Not enough info to call IMO.
Personally I'd rather be aggressive, but again, these are the types of situations where you have to go with your gut/read on your opponent.