Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
When you get this flop and he checks, it is very good for you. He usually has JJ+. You are probably drawing to 10 outs and usually can get stacks in if you hit. Flop play is just terrible. When he lrrs and x/rs flop, what do you put him on?
Although people can always go crazy and do outlier stuff, in the room I play in, a L/RR from a 30-40ish+ player is almost always QQ+/AK. If the player is 65+, then AA/KK
On the flop, with a check, he definitely has QQ+, with some % of AK and maybe some slivers of JJ/TT. When he L/RR, I think his range gets condensed down to QQ+ (but weighted to more AA/KK), with maybe some slivers of AK that view my small bet as a FOS position bet from one of the more aggressive players at the table. Since I've gotten back in poker (with quite a fair amount of studying "GTO" betting), I definitely have noticed that many players will view smaller GTO "range bets" as "ohhh he must be bluffing me" bets, FWIW. It may/may not apply in this specific hand, though.
Calling the flop C/R seemed OK as I thought I had enough equity, but I did also think I had some amount of fold equity (albeit small) and get to see both turn/river if he does call. So I jammed.
But as many have said (and why I posted the hand)...I think the overwhelming best flop play is a check-back. Thanks for the response!
Quote:
Originally Posted by haha_TP
I doubt a loose passive player is having the AK/AQ very often in this spot. That's why you're jamming right, to deny equity to that? I could see AQ maybe, but that's rarely limp-raised. We can't be trying to get overpairs to fold because that is burning money, especially on a board like JT8. He could be ranging you incorrectly, just as you seem to be with him.
Long story short, he probably has an overpair, JJ, or TT and isn't folding. With that logic, I'm folding the flop.
See above reply...in the room I play in, I've seen the L/RR with AK enough that there's some amount of it in his range (maybe not all combos, maybe discount it to 4 combos?). I figured jamming denies equity to an AK that thinks I may be FOS with my small flop bet...also occasionally I'll see passive nitty guys angry-fold AA/KK face-up when you jam on them on an ugly board and they think their limp/reraise "trap" didn't work. Again I'm not saying my line here was "right" or "the best", just the thoughts that made me ultimately jam. Thanks for your reply, it's appreciated!