Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Hickok
If you are betting this then what are you checking? Checking is basically giving up on that case. So check this to protect your range. Also you are Vs two ppl so maybe look for a blank turn to then bet or call down. If you bet and get raised you have to fold too
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I'd check with some decent draws that don't want to get check-raised, or super-strong hands that don't need any protection, and want to let opponents catch up. So, I'd check 65s here, and 88/77 if the board was rainbow. We can also check un-paired over-cards that can turn a strong TP, and hands like A2dd-A5dd and A9dd that can pick up equity with a BDSD on the turn.
How many blank turn cards are there? Anything from a 4 to a J possibly completes a straight draw. Any diamond completes a flush draw. Any card higher than 7 possibly gives our opponents a better pair. Any card under a 7 might make a lower PP a set. There really aren't any real bricks that will increase our confidence in our hand if one of our opponents leads out, or happens to check-call.
If we bet 1/3 pot and get raised, we don't necessarily have to fold. We're $1k effective here, and there's $30 in the pot. We're IP, so we can sometimes call and play some poker on the turn.
What would our opponents even be raising here on the flop, rather than donk-leading or check-raising turn? These guys aren't flatting with big PP's. Maybe V1 flats 88/77 in the SB, but 88 is just three combos, and 77 is just one combo. Maybe V2 in BB flats 87s, but that's just two combos. Maybe BB check-raises T9dd or 65dd, but again, that's just two combos.
So there are maybe eight combos either V could have that might check-raise flop, and V2 in BB probably just check-calls flop with half of those, especially if V1 folds to our c-bet.
Conversely, when good opponents flat call from the blinds, they're going to have a lot of weak hands that completely missed this flop, and will just fold to a c-bet.