good 5/5 game, i open Q
Q
UTG for 20 and get like 5 callers.
flop (120) Q
5
5
donkish short stack in BB open shoves for 130, i flat, main villain also flats from MP, others fold.
villain has another ~1200 behind and i cover.
villain is a splashy LAG reg, he is stuck a couple buy-ins, capable of being very sticky postflop and chasing some ambitious draws. we know each other well. he views me as solid and a bit on the tight side. i drew out on him in a big pot earlier so there may be some revenge mode factored in here.
at this point i give villain any heart draw, the case Q, pocket pairs 66-TT, or possibly a 5.
turn 7
i check, villain bets 275, i call.
at this point i think villain is more likely to have a value hand than a draw - in a protected pot i think he would probably just check back and realize his equity with a naked FD. but he is unpredictable.
river T
hero?
i think villain would have a very hard time folding a naked 5 here, but would probably check it back with the flush coming in and me calling turn.